Global warming is the long-term rise in the average temperature of the Earth's climate system. It is a major aspect of climate change, and has been demonstrated by direct temperature measurements and by measurements of various effects of the warming. Global warming and climate change are often used interchangeably. But more accurately, global warming is the mainly human-caused increase in global surface temperatures and its projected continuation, while climate change includes both global warming and its effects, such as changes in precipitation. While there have been prehistoric periods of global warming, many observed changes since the mid-20th century have been unprecedented over decades to millennia.
The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Fifth Assessment Report concluded, "It is extremely likely that human influence has been the dominant cause of the observed warming since the mid-20th century." The largest human influence has been the emission of greenhouse gases such as carbon dioxide, methane, and nitrous oxide. Climate model projections summarized in the report indicated that during the 21st century the global surface temperature is likely to rise a further 0.3 to 1.7 °C (0.5 to 3.1 °F) in a moderate scenario, or as much as 2.6 to 4.8 °C (4.7 to 8.6 °F) in an extreme scenario, depending on the rate of future greenhouse gas emissions and on climate feedback effects. These findings have been recognized by the national science academies of the major industrialized nations and are not disputed by any scientific body of national or international standing.
The effects of global warming include rising sea levels, regional changes in precipitation, more frequent extreme weather events such as heat waves, and expansion of deserts. Ocean acidification is also caused by greenhouse gas emissions and is commonly grouped with these effects even though it is not driven by temperature. Surface temperature increases are greatest in the Arctic, which has contributed to the retreat of glaciers, permafrost, and sea ice. Overall, higher temperatures bring more rain and snowfall, but for some regions droughts and wildfires increase instead. Climate change threatens to diminish crop yields, harming food security, and rising sea levels may flood coastal infrastructure and force the abandonment of many coastal cities. Environmental impacts include the extinction or relocation of many species as their ecosystems change, most immediately the environments of coral reefs, mountains, and the Arctic.
Societal responses to global warming include mitigation by emissions reduction, adaptation to its effects, and possibly climate engineering. Countries work together on climate change under the umbrella of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC), which has near-universal membership. The ultimate goal of the convention is to "prevent dangerous anthropogenic interference with the climate system". Although the parties to the UNFCCC have agreed that deep cuts in emissions are required and that global warming should be limited to well below 2 °C (3.6 °F) in the Paris Agreement, the Earth's average surface temperature has already increased by about half this threshold and current pledges by countries to cut emissions are inadequate to limit future warming.
Observed temperature changes
Climate proxy records show that natural variations offset the early effects of the Industrial Revolution, so there was little net warming between the 18th century and the mid-19th century, when thermometer records began to provide global coverage. The IPCC has adopted the baseline reference period 1850–1900 as an approximation of pre-industrial global mean surface temperature.
Multiple independently produced instrumental datasets confirm that the 2009–2018 decade was 0.93 ± 0.07 °C warmer than the pre-industrial baseline (1850–1900). Currently, surface temperatures are rising by about 0.2 °C per decade. Since 1950, the number of cold days and nights have decreased, and the number of warm days and night have increased. Historical patterns of warming and cooling, like the Medieval Climate Anomaly and the Little Ice Age, were not as synchronous as current warming, but may have reached temperatures as high as those of the late-20th century in a limited set of regions. Past examples of climate change provide insight into modern climate change.
Although the most common measure of global warming is the increase in the near-surface atmospheric temperature, over 90% of the additional energy stored in the climate system over the last 50 years has warmed ocean water. The remainder of the additional energy has melted ice and warmed the continents and the atmosphere.
The warming evident in the instrumental temperature record is consistent with a wide range of observations, documented by many independent scientific groups; for example, in most continental regions the frequency and intensity of heavy precipitation has increased. Further examples include sea level rise, widespread melting of snow and land ice, increased heat content of the oceans, increased humidity, and the earlier timing of spring events, such as the flowering of plants.
Global warming refers to global averages, with the amount of warming varying by region. Since the pre-industrial period, global average land temperatures have increased almost twice as fast as global average temperatures. This is due to the larger heat capacity of oceans and because oceans lose more heat by evaporation. Patterns of warming are independent of the locations of greenhouse gas emissions because the gases persist long enough to diffuse across the planet; however, localized black carbon deposits on snow and ice do contribute to Arctic warming.
The Northern Hemisphere and North Pole have warmed much faster than the South Pole and Southern Hemisphere. The Northern Hemisphere not only has much more land, but the arrangement of land masses around the Arctic Ocean has resulted in the maximum surface area flipping from reflective snow and ice cover to ocean and land surfaces that absorb more sunlight and thus more heat. Arctic temperatures have increased and are predicted to continue to increase during this century at over twice the rate of the rest of the world. As the temperature difference between the Arctic and the equator decreases, ocean currents that are driven by that temperature difference, like the Gulf Stream, are weakening.
Short-term slowdowns and surges
Because the climate system has large thermal inertia, it can take centuries for the climate to fully adjust. While record-breaking years attract considerable public interest, individual years are less significant than the overall trend. Global surface temperature is subject to short-term fluctuations that overlie long-term trends, and can temporarily mask or magnify them. An example of such an episode is the slower rate of surface temperature increase from 1998 to 2012, which was dubbed the global warming hiatus. Throughout this period ocean heat storage continued to progress steadily upwards, and in subsequent years surface temperatures have spiked upwards. The slower pace of warming can be attributed to a combination of natural fluctuations, reduced solar activity, and increased volcanic activity.
Physical drivers of recent climate change
By itself, the climate system experiences various cycles which can last for years (such as the El Niño–Southern Oscillation) to decades or centuries. Other changes are caused by external forcings. These forcings are "external" to the climate system, but not always external to the Earth. Examples of external forcings include changes in the composition of the atmosphere (e.g. increased concentrations of greenhouse gases), solar luminosity, volcanic eruptions, and variations in the Earth's orbit around the Sun.
Attributing detected temperature changes and extreme events to human-caused increases in greenhouse gases requires scientists to rule out known internal climate variability and natural external forcings. Therefore, a key approach is to use physically or statistically based computer modelling of the climate system to determine unique fingerprints for all potential causes. By comparing these fingerprints with observed patterns and evolution of climate change, and the observed evolution of the forcings, the causes of the observed changes can be determined. Scientists have determined that the major factors causing the current climate change are greenhouse gases, land use changes, and aerosols and soot.
Greenhouse gases trap heat radiating from the Earth to space. This heat, in the form of infrared radiation, gets absorbed and emitted by these gases in the atmosphere, thus warming the lower atmosphere and the surface. Before the Industrial Revolution, naturally occurring amounts of greenhouse gases caused the air near the surface to be warmer by about 33 °C (59 °F) than it would be in their absence. Without the Earth's atmosphere, the Earth's average temperature would be well below the freezing temperature of water. While water vapour (~50%) and clouds (~25%) are the biggest contributors to the greenhouse effect, they increase as a function of temperature and are therefore considered feedbacks. Increased concentrations of gases such as CO
2 (~20%), ozone and N
2O are external forcing on the other hand.
Human activity since the Industrial Revolution has increased the amount of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere, leading to increased radiative forcing from CO2, methane, tropospheric ozone, CFCs, and nitrous oxide. As of 2011, the concentrations of CO2 and methane had increased by about 40% and 150%, respectively, since pre-industrial times. In 2013, CO2 readings taken at the world's primary benchmark site in Mauna Loa surpassing 400 ppm for the first time. These levels are much higher than at any time during the last 800,000 years, the period for which reliable data have been collected from ice cores. Less direct geological evidence indicates that CO2 values have not been this high for millions of years.
Global anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions in 2010 were equivalent to 49 billion tonnes of carbon dioxide (using the most recent global warming potentials over 100 years from the AR5 report). Of these emissions, 65% was carbon dioxide from fossil fuel burning and industry, 11% was carbon dioxide from land use change, which is primarily due to deforestation, 16% was from methane, 6.2% was from nitrous oxide, and 2.0% was from fluorinated gases. Using life-cycle assessment to estimate emissions relating to final consumption, the dominant sources of 2010 emissions were: food (26–30% of emissions); washing, heating, and lighting (26%); personal transport and freight (20%); and building construction (15%).
The 10th Emissions Gap Report issued by the United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) predicts that if emissions continue to increase at the same rate as they have in 2010–2020, global temperatures would rise by as much as 4° by 2100.
Land use change
Humans change the land surface mainly to create more agricultural land. Today agriculture takes up 50% of the world’s habitable land, while 37% is forests,and that latter figure continues to decrease. This deforestation is the most significant aspect of land use change affecting global warming. The main causes are: deforestation through permanent land use change for agricultural products such as beef and palm oil (27%), forestry/forest products (26%), short term agricultural cultivation (24%), and wildfires (23%).
Current patterns of land use affect global warming in a variety of ways. While some aspects cause significant GHG emissions, other land use processes act as a significant carbon sink for CO2, more than offsetting these GHG sources. The net result is an estimated removal (sink) of about 6 billion tonnes annually, or about 12% of global GHG emissions. The land acts as a carbon sink via carbon fixation in the soil and increased photosynthesis.
Land use changes also affect global warming through a variety of other chemical and physical dynamics. Changing the type of vegetation in a region impacts the local temperature by changing how much sunlight gets reflected back into space, called albedo, and how much heat is lost by evaporation. For instance, the change from a dark forest to grassland makes the surface lighter, causing it to reflect more sunlight. Deforestation can also contribute to changing temperatures by affecting the release of aerosols and other chemical compounds that affect clouds; and by changing wind patterns when the land surface has different obstacles. Globally, these effects are estimated to have led to a slight cooling, ￼￼dominated by an increase in surface albedo. But there is significant geographic variation in how this works. In the tropics the net effect is to produce a significant warming, while at latitudes closer to the poles a loss of albedo leads to an overall cooling effect.
Aerosols and soot
Solid and liquid particles known as aerosols – from volcanoes, plankton, and human-made pollutants – reflect incoming sunlight, cooling the climate. From 1961 to 1990, a gradual reduction in the amount of sunlight reaching the Earth's surface was observed, a phenomenon popularly known as global dimming, typically attributed to aerosols from biofuel and fossil fuel burning. Aerosol removal by precipitation gives tropospheric aerosols an atmospheric lifetime of only about a week, while stratospheric aerosols can remain in the atmosphere for a few years. Globally, aerosols have been declining since 1990, removing some of the masking of global warming that they had been providing.
In addition to their direct effect by scattering and absorbing solar radiation, aerosols have indirect effects on the Earth's radiation budget. Sulfate aerosols act as cloud condensation nuclei and thus lead to clouds that have more and smaller cloud droplets. These clouds reflect solar radiation more efficiently than clouds with fewer and larger droplets. This effect also causes droplets to be of more uniform size, which reduces the growth of raindrops and makes clouds more reflective to incoming sunlight. Indirect effects of aerosols are the largest uncertainty in radiative forcing.
While aerosols typically limit global warming by reflecting sunlight, black carbon in soot that falls on snow or ice can contribute to global warming. Not only does this increase the absorption of sunlight, it also increases melting and sea level rise. Limiting new black carbon deposits in the Arctic could reduce global warming by 0.2 °C by 2050. When soot is suspended in the atmosphere, it directly absorbs solar radiation, heating the atmosphere and cooling the surface. In areas with high soot production, such as rural India, as much as 50% of surface warming due to greenhouse gases may be masked by atmospheric brown clouds.
Minor forcings: the Sun and short-lived greenhouse gases
As the Sun is the Earth's primary energy source, changes in incoming sunlight directly affect the climate system. Solar irradiance has been measured directly by satellites, and indirect measurements are available beginning in the early 1600s. There has been no upward trend in the amount of the Sun's energy reaching the Earth, so it cannot be responsible for the current warming. Physical climate models are also unable to reproduce the rapid warming observed in recent decades when taking into account only variations in solar output and volcanic activity. Another line of evidence for the warming not being due to the Sun is how temperature changes differ at different levels in the Earth's atmosphere. According to basic physical principles, the greenhouse effect produces warming of the lower atmosphere (the troposphere), but cooling of the upper atmosphere (the stratosphere). If solar variations were responsible for the observed warming, warming of both the troposphere and the stratosphere would be expected, but that has not been the case.
Climate change feedback
The response of the climate system to an initial forcing is increased by self-reinforcing feedbacks and reduced by balancing feedbacks. The main balancing feedback to global temperature change is radiative cooling to space as infrared radiation, which increases strongly with increasing temperature. The main reinforcing feedbacks are the water vapour feedback, the ice–albedo feedback, and probably the net effect of clouds. Uncertainty over feedbacks is the major reason why different climate models project different magnitudes of warming for a given amount of emissions.
As air gets warmer, it can hold more moisture. After an initial warming due to emissions of greenhouse gases, the atmosphere will hold more water. As water is a potent greenhouse gas, this further heats the climate: the water vapour feedback. The reduction of snow cover and sea ice in the Arctic reduces the albedo of the Earth's surface. More of the Sun's energy is now absorbed in these regions, contributing to Arctic amplification, which has caused Arctic temperatures to increase at more than twice the rate of the rest of the world. Arctic amplification also causes methane to be released as permafrost melts, which is expected to surpass land use changes as the second strongest anthropogenic source of greenhouse gases by the end of the century.
Cloud cover may change in the future. If cloud cover increases, more sunlight will be reflected back into space, cooling the planet. Simultaneously, the clouds enhance the greenhouse effect, warming the planet. The opposite is true if cloud cover decreases. It depends on the cloud type and location which process is more important. Overall, the net feedback over the industrial era has probably been self-reinforcing.
Roughly half of each year's CO2 emissions have been absorbed by plants on land and in oceans. Carbon dioxide and an extended growing season have stimulated plant growth making the land carbon cycle a balancing feedback. Climate change also increases droughts and heat waves that inhibit plant growth, which makes it uncertain whether this balancing feedback will persist in the future. Soils contain large quantities of carbon and may release some when they heat up. As more CO2 and heat are absorbed by the ocean, it is acidifying and ocean circulation can change, changing the rate at which the ocean can absorb atmospheric carbon.
A concern is that self-reinforcing feedbacks will lead to a tipping point, where global temperatures transition to a hothouse climate state even if greenhouse gas emissions are reduced or eliminated. A 2018 study tried to identify such a planetary threshold for self-reinforcing feedbacks and found that even a 2 °C (3.6 °F) increase in temperature over pre-industrial levels may be enough to trigger such a hothouse Earth scenario.
Models and projections
A climate model is a representation of the physical, chemical, and biological processes that affect the climate system. Computer models are run on supercomputers to reproduce and predict the circulation of the oceans, the annual cycle of the seasons, and the flows of carbon between the land surface and the atmosphere. There are more than two dozen scientific institutions that develop climate models. Models not only project different future temperature with different emissions of greenhouse gases, but also do not fully agree on the strength of different feedbacks on climate sensitivity and the amount of inertia of the system.
A subset of climate models add societal factors to a simple physical climate model. These models simulate how population, economic growth, and energy use affect – and interact with – the physical climate. With this information, scientists can produce scenarios of how greenhouse gas emissions may vary in the future. Scientists can then run these scenarios through physical climate models to generate climate change projections.
Climate models include different external forcings for their models. For different greenhouse gas inputs four RCPs (Representative Concentration Pathways) are used: "a stringent mitigation scenario (RCP2.6), two intermediate scenarios (RCP4.5 and RCP6.0) and one scenario with very high GHG [greenhouse gas] emissions (RCP8.5)". Models also include changes in the Earth's orbit, historical changes in the Sun's activity, and volcanic forcing. RCPs only look at concentrations of greenhouse gases, factoring out uncertainty as to whether the carbon cycle will continue to remove about half of the carbon dioxide from the atmosphere each year.
The physical realism of models is tested by examining their ability to simulate contemporary or past climates. Past models have underestimated the rate of Arctic shrinkage and underestimated the rate of precipitation increase. Sea level rise since 1990 was underestimated in older models, but now agrees well with observations. The 2017 United States-published National Climate Assessment notes that "climate models may still be underestimating or missing relevant feedback processes".
The environmental effects of global warming are broad and far-reaching. They include effects on the oceans, ice, and weather and may occur gradually or rapidly.
Between 1993 and 2017, the global mean sea level rose on average by 3.1 ± 0.3 mm per year, with an acceleration detected as well. Over the 21st century, the IPCC projects that in a high emissions scenario the sea level could rise by 61–110 cm. The rate of ice loss from glaciers and ice sheets in the Antarctic is a key area of uncertainty since this source could account for 90% of the potential sea level rise. Increased ocean warmth is undermining and threatening to unplug Antarctic glacier outlets, potentially resulting in more rapid sea level rise. The retreat of non-polar glaciers also contributes to sea level rise.
Global warming has led to decades of shrinking and thinning of the Arctic sea ice, making it vulnerable to atmospheric anomalies. Projections of declines in Arctic sea ice vary. While ice-free summers are expected to be rare at 1.5 °C degrees of warming, they are set to occur once every three to ten years at a warming level of 2.0 °C increasing the ice–albedo feedback. Higher atmospheric CO2 concentrations have led to an increase in dissolved CO2, which causes ocean acidification. Furthermore, oxygen levels decrease because oxygen is less soluble in warmer water, an effect known as ocean deoxygenation.
Many regions have probably already seen increases in warm spells and heat waves, and it is virtually certain that these changes will continue over the 21st century. Since the 1950s, droughts and heat waves have appeared simultaneously with increasing frequency. Extremely wet or dry events within the monsoon period have increased in India and East Asia. Various mechanisms have been identified that might explain extreme weather in mid-latitudes from the rapidly warming Arctic, such as the jet stream becoming more erratic. The maximum rainfall and wind speed from hurricanes and typhoons are likely increasing.
Long-term effects of global warming: On the timescale of centuries to millennia, the magnitude of global warming will be determined primarily by anthropogenic CO2 emissions. This is due to carbon dioxide's very long lifetime in the atmosphere. The emissions are estimated to have prolonged the current interglacial period by at least 100,000 years. Because the great mass of glaciers and ice caps depressed the Earth's crust, another long-term effect of ice melt and deglaciation is the gradual rising of landmasses, a process called post-glacial rebound. This could be facilitating seismic and volcanic activity in places like Iceland. Tsunamis could be generated by submarine landslides caused by warmer ocean water thawing ocean-floor permafrost or releasing gas hydrates. Sea level rise will continue over many centuries.
Abrupt climate change, tipping points in the climate system: Climate change could result in global, large-scale changes. Some large-scale changes could occur abruptly, i.e. over a short time period, and might also be irreversible. One potential source of abrupt climate change would be the rapid release of methane and carbon dioxide from permafrost, which would amplify global warming. Another example is the possibility for the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation to slow or shut down (see also shutdown of thermohaline circulation). This could trigger cooling in the North Atlantic, Europe, and North America.
In terrestrial ecosystems, the earlier timing of spring events, as well as poleward and upward shifts in plant and animal ranges, have been linked with high confidence to recent warming. It is expected that most ecosystems will be affected by higher atmospheric CO2 levels and higher global temperatures. Global warming has contributed to the expansion of drier climatic zones, such as, probably, the expansion of deserts in the subtropics. Without substantial actions to reduce the rate of global warming, land-based ecosystems risk major shifts in their composition and structure. Overall, it is expected that climate change will result in the extinction of many species and reduced diversity of ecosystems. Rising temperatures push bees to their physiological limits, and could cause the extinction of bee populations.
The ocean has heated more slowly than the land, but plants and animals in the ocean have migrated towards the colder poles as fast as or faster than species on land. Just as on land, heat waves in the ocean occur more due to climate change, with harmful effects found on a wide range of organisms such as corals, kelp, and seabirds. Ocean acidification threatens damage to coral reefs, fisheries, protected species, and other natural resources of value to society. Higher oceanic CO2 may affect the brain and central nervous system of certain fish species, which reduces their ability to hear, smell, and evade predators.
The effects of climate change on human systems, mostly due to warming and shifts in precipitation, have been detected worldwide. The future social impacts of climate change will be uneven across the world. All regions are at risk of experiencing negative impacts, with low-latitude, less developed areas facing the greatest risk. Global warming has likely already increased global economic inequality, and is projected to do so in the future. Regional impacts of climate change are now observable on all continents and across ocean regions. The Arctic, Africa, small islands, and Asian megadeltas are regions that are likely to be especially affected by future climate change. Many risks increase with higher magnitudes of global warming.
Food and water
Crop production will probably be negatively affected in low-latitude countries, while effects at northern latitudes may be positive or negative. Global warming of around 4 °C relative to late 20th century levels could pose a large risk to global and regional food security. The impact of climate change on crop productivity for the four major crops was negative for wheat and maize, and neutral for soy and rice, in the years 1960–2013. Up to an additional 182 million people worldwide, particularly those with lower incomes, are at risk of hunger as a consequence of warming. While increased CO
2 levels help crop growth at lower temperature increases, those crops do become less nutritious. Based on local and indigenous knowledge, climate change is already affecting food security in mountain regions in South America and Asia, and in various drylands, particularly in Africa. Regions dependent on glacier water, regions that are already dry, and small islands are also at increased risk of water stress due to climate change.
Health and security
Generally, impacts on public health will be more negative than positive. Impacts include the direct effects of extreme weather, leading to injury and loss of life; and indirect effects, such as undernutrition brought on by crop failures. Temperature rise has been connected to increased numbers of suicides. Climate change may also lead to new human diseases. For example, while ordinary temperatures usually kill off the yeast Candida auris before it infects humans, three strains have recently appeared in widely separate regions, leading researchers to postulate that warmer temperatures are driving it to adapt to higher temperatures at which it can more readily infect humans. Climate change has been linked to an increase in violent conflict by amplifying poverty and economic shocks, which are well-documented drivers of these conflicts. Links have been made between a wide range of violent behaviour including fist fights, violent crimes, civil unrest, and wars.
Livelihoods, industry, and infrastructure
In small islands and mega deltas, inundation from sea level rise is expected to threaten vital infrastructure and human settlements. This could lead to homelessness in countries with low-lying areas such as Bangladesh, as well as statelessness for populations in island nations, such as the Maldives and Tuvalu. Climate change can be an important driver of migration, both within and between countries.
The majority of severe impacts of climate change are expected in sub-Saharan Africa and South-East Asia, where existing poverty is exacerbated. Current inequalities between men and women, between rich and poor and between people of different ethnicity have been observed to worsen as a consequence of climate variability and climate change. Existing stresses include poverty, political conflicts, and ecosystem degradation. Regions may even become uninhabitable, with humidity and temperatures reaching levels too high for humans to survive.
Mitigation of and adaptation to climate change are two complementary responses to global warming. Successful adaptation is easier if there are substantial emission reductions. Many of the countries that have contributed least to global greenhouse gas emissions are among the most vulnerable to climate change, which raises questions about justice and fairness with regard to mitigation and adaptation.
Climate change can be mitigated through the reduction of greenhouse gas emissions or the enhancement of the capacity of carbon sinks to absorb greenhouse gases from the atmosphere. There is a large potential for future reductions in emissions by a combination of activities, including energy conservation and increased energy efficiency; the use of low-carbon energy technologies, such as renewable energy, nuclear energy, and carbon capture and storage; decarbonizing buildings and transport; and enhancing carbon sinks through, for example, reforestation and preventing deforestation. A 2015 report by Citibank concluded that transitioning to a low-carbon economy would yield a positive return on investments.
Drivers of greenhouse gas emissions
Over the last three decades of the twentieth century, gross domestic product per capita and population growth were the main drivers of increases in greenhouse gas emissions. CO2 emissions are continuing to rise due to the burning of fossil fuels and land-use change. Emissions can be attributed to different regions. The attribution of emissions from land-use change is subject to considerable uncertainty.
Emissions scenarios, estimates of changes in future emission levels of greenhouse gases, depend upon uncertain economic, sociological, technological, and natural developments. In some scenarios emissions continue to rise over the century, while others have reduced emissions. Fossil fuel reserves are abundant, and will not limit carbon emissions in the 21st century. Emission scenarios can be combined with modelling of the carbon cycle to predict how atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases might change in the future. According to these combined models, by 2100 the atmospheric concentration of CO2 could be as low as 380 or as high as 1400 ppm, depending on the Shared Socioeconomic Pathway (SSP) the world takes and the mitigation scenario.
Reducing greenhouse gases
Near- and long-term trends in the global energy system are inconsistent with limiting global warming to below 1.5 or 2 °C relative to pre-industrial levels. Current pledges made as part of the Paris Agreement would lead to about 3.0 °C of warming at the end of the 21st century, relative to pre-industrial levels. To keep warming below 2 °C, more stringent emission reductions in the near-term would allow for less rapid reductions after 2030. To keep warming under 1.5 °C, a far-reaching system change on an unprecedented scale is necessary in energy, land, cities, transport, buildings, and industry. A report, published just before the 2019 UN Climate Action Summit, says that the full implementation of all pledges taken by international coalitions, countries, cities, regions and businesses (not only in the Paris Agreement) would be sufficient to limit temperature rise to 2°C but not to 1.5°C. All the information about the pledges is added to the UNFCCC Global Climate Action portal. The scientific community is checking their fulfilment.
Co-benefits of climate change mitigation may help society and individuals more quickly. For example, bicycling reduces greenhouse gas emissions while reducing the effects of a sedentary lifestyle at the same time. The development and scaling-up of clean technology, such as cement that produces less CO2, is critical to achieve sufficient emission reductions for the Paris agreement goals. Many integrated models are unable to meet the 2 °C target if pessimistic assumptions are made about the availability of mitigation technologies.
Climate change adaptation is "the adjustment in natural or human systems in response to actual or expected climatic stimuli or their effects, which moderates harm or exploits beneficial opportunities." Examples of adaptation are improved coastline protection, better disaster management, and the development of more resistant crops. The adaptation may be planned, either in reaction to or anticipation of global warming, or spontaneous, i.e. without government intervention.
The public sector, private sector, and communities are all gaining experience with adaptation, and adaptation is becoming embedded within certain planning processes. While some adaptation responses call for trade-offs, others bring synergies and co-benefits. Environmental organizations and public figures have emphasized changes in the climate and the risks they entail, while promoting adaptation to changes in infrastructural needs and emissions reductions.
Adaptation is especially important in developing countries since they are predicted to bear the brunt of the effects of global warming. The capacity and potential for humans to adapt, called adaptive capacity, is unevenly distributed across different regions and populations, and developing countries generally have less capacity to adapt. In June 2019, U.N. special rapporteur Philip Alston warned of a "climate apartheid" situation developing, where global warming "could push more than 120 million more people into poverty by 2030 and will have the most severe impact in poor countries, regions, and the places poor people live and work".
Climate engineering (sometimes called geoengineering or climate intervention) is the deliberate modification of the climate. It has been investigated as a possible response to global warming by groups including NASA and the Royal Society. Techniques studied fall generally into the categories of solar radiation management and carbon dioxide removal, although various other schemes have been suggested. A study from 2014 investigated the most common climate engineering methods and concluded that they are either ineffective or have potentially severe side effects and cannot be stopped without causing rapid climate change.
Society and culture
UN Framework Convention
As of 2019 nearly all countries in the world are parties to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC). The objective of the Convention is to prevent dangerous human interference with the climate system. As stated in the Convention, this requires that greenhouse gas concentrations are stabilized in the atmosphere at a level where ecosystems can adapt naturally to climate change, food production is not threatened, and economic development can be sustained. The Framework Convention was agreed on in 1992, but global emissions have risen since then. Its yearly conferences are the stage of global negotiations.
During these negotiations, the G77 (a lobbying group in the United Nations representing developing countries) pushed for a mandate requiring developed countries to "[take] the lead" in reducing their emissions. This was justified on the basis that the developed countries' emissions had contributed most to the accumulation of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere, per-capita emissions were still relatively low in developing countries, and the emissions of developing countries would grow to meet their development needs.
This mandate was sustained in the 2005 Kyoto Protocol to the Framework Convention. In ratifying the Kyoto Protocol, most developed countries accepted legally binding commitments to limit their emissions. These first-round commitments expired in 2012. United States President George W. Bush rejected the treaty on the basis that "it exempts 80% of the world, including major population centres such as China and India, from compliance, and would cause serious harm to the US economy". In 2009 several UNFCCC Parties produced the Copenhagen Accord, which has been widely portrayed as disappointing because of its low goals, leading poor nations to reject it. Parties associated with the Accord aim to limit the future increase in global mean temperature to below 2 °C.
In 2015 all UN countries negotiated the Paris Agreement, which aims to keep climate change well below 2 °C. The agreement replaced the Kyoto Protocol. Unlike Kyoto, no binding emission targets are set in the Paris Agreement. Instead, the procedure of regularly setting ever more ambitious goals and reevaluating these goals every five years has been made binding. The Paris Agreement reiterated that developing countries must be financially supported. As of November 2019, 194 states and the European Union have signed the treaty and 186 states and the EU have ratified or acceded to the agreement. In November 2019 the Trump administration notified the UN that it would withdraw the United States from the Paris Agreement in 2020.
In 2019, the British Parliament became the first national government in the world to officially declare a climate emergency. As at September 2019, nine countries including the United Kingdom, France and Argentina have made national declarations of a climate emergency. Climate emergency declarations have been made in 983 separate jurisdictions and local governments in 18 countries covering 212 million citizens.
In November 2019 the European Parliament declared a "climate and environmental emergency".
While the ozone layer and climate change are considered separate problems, the solution to the former has significantly mitigated global warming. The estimated mitigation of the Montreal Protocol, an international agreement to stop emitting ozone-depleting gases, is estimated to have been more impactful than the Kyoto Protocol, which was specifically designed to curb greenhouse gas emissions. It has been argued that the Montreal Protocol, may have done more than any other measure, as of 2017, to mitigate climate change as those substances were also powerful greenhouse gases.
In the scientific literature, there is an overwhelming consensus that global surface temperatures have increased in recent decades and that the trend is caused mainly by human-induced emissions of greenhouse gases. No scientific body of national or international standing disagrees with this view. Scientific discussion takes place in journal articles that are peer-reviewed, which scientists subject to assessment every couple of years in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change reports. The scientific consensus as of 2013, as stated in the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report, is that it "is extremely likely that human influence has been the dominant cause of the observed warming since the mid-20th century".
National science academies have called on world leaders for policies to cut global emissions. In November 2017, a second warning to humanity signed by 15,364 scientists from 184 countries stated that "the current trajectory of potentially catastrophic climate change due to rising greenhouse gases from burning fossil fuels, deforestation, and agricultural production – particularly from farming ruminants for meat consumption" is "especially troubling". In 2018 the IPCC published a Special Report on Global Warming of 1.5 °C which warned that, if the current rate of greenhouse gas emissions is not mitigated, global warming is likely to reach 1.5 °C (2.7 °F) between 2030 and 2052, risking major crises. The report said that preventing such crises will require a swift transformation of the global economy that has "no documented historic precedent". In November 2019, a group of more than 11,000 scientists from 153 countries named climate change an "emergency" that would lead to "untold human suffering" if no big shifts in action takes place. The emergency declaration emphasized that economic growth and population growth "are among the most important drivers of increases in CO2 emissions from fossil fuel combustion" and that "we need bold and drastic transformations regarding economic and population policies."
Public opinion and disputes
The global warming problem came to international public attention in the late 1980s. Significant regional differences exist in how concerned people are about climate change and how much they understand the issue. In 2010, just a little over half the US population viewed it as a serious concern for either themselves or their families, while 73% of people in Latin America and 74% in developed Asia felt this way. Similarly, in 2015 a median of 54% of respondents considered it "a very serious problem", but Americans and Chinese (whose economies are responsible for the greatest annual CO2 emissions) were among the least concerned. Worldwide in 2011, people were more likely to attribute global warming to human activities than to natural causes, except in the US where nearly half of the population attributed global warming to natural causes. Public reactions to global warming and concern about its effects have been increasing, with many perceiving it as the worst global threat. In a 2019 CBS poll, 64% of the US population said that climate change is a "crisis" or a "serious problem", with 44% saying human activity was a significant contributor.
Due to confusing media coverage in the early 1990s, issues such as ozone depletion and climate change were often mixed up, affecting public understanding of these issues. Although there are a few areas of linkage, the relationship between the two is weak.
From about 1990 onward, American conservative think tanks had begun challenging the legitimacy of global warming as a social problem. They challenged the scientific evidence, argued that global warming would have benefits, warned that concern for global warming was some kind of socialist plot to undermine American capitalism, and asserted that proposed solutions would do more harm than good. Organizations such as the libertarian Competitive Enterprise Institute, as well as conservative commentators, have challenged IPCC climate change scenarios, funded scientists who disagree with the scientific consensus, and provided their own projections of the economic cost of stricter controls.
Global warming has been the subject of controversy, substantially more pronounced in the popular media than in the scientific literature, with disputes regarding the nature, causes, and consequences of global warming. The disputed issues include the causes of increased global average air temperature, especially since the mid-20th century, whether this warming trend is unprecedented or within normal climatic variations, whether humankind has contributed significantly to it, and whether the increase is completely or partially an artifact of poor measurements. Additional disputes concern estimates of climate sensitivity, predictions of additional warming, what the consequences of global warming will be, and what to do about it. One suggestion is that the best individual actions include having fewer children but some disagree with encouraging people to stop having children, saying that children "embody a profound hope for the future", and that more emphasis should be placed on lifestyle choices of the world's wealthy, fossil fuel companies, and government inaction.
In the 20th century and early 2000s some companies, such as ExxonMobil, challenged IPCC climate change scenarios, funded scientists who disagreed with the scientific consensus, and provided their own projections of the economic cost of stricter controls. In general, since the 2010s, global oil companies do not dispute that climate change exists and is caused by the burning of fossil fuels. As of 2019, however, some are lobbying against a carbon tax and plan to increase production of oil and gas, but others are in favour of a carbon tax in exchange for immunity from lawsuits which seek climate change compensation.
Protest and litigation
Protests in favour of more ambitious climate action have increased in the 2010s in the form of fossil fuel divestment, worldwide demonstrations, and a school strike for climate. Mass civil disobedience actions by Extinction Rebellion and Ende Gelände have ended in police intervention and large-scale arrests. Litigation is increasingly used as a tool to strengthen climate action, with governments being the biggest target of lawsuits demanding that they become ambitious on climate action or enforce existing laws. Cases against fossil-fuel companies, from activists, shareholders and investors, generally seek compensation for loss and damage.
History of the science
In Greco-Roman geography, climate was thought to be simply set by klima, the angle of the midday sun defining bands of latitude which suited different peoples. Theophrastus thought agriculture caused local climate changes. Colonists expected North American weather to match latitudes, but found winters unexpectedly harsh. 18th century naturalists, starting with Du Bos in 1719, said millennia of farming had given Europe the temperate climate needed for civilisation, and cultivation could bring rapid climate improvements to America. Thomas Jefferson and others sought evidence of this warming. Savants thought the earth had cooled from incandescent origins; in 1778 Buffon proposed climatic Epochs of diminishing warmth, shown by tropical fossils in the north.
Following from Mariotte's 1681 demonstration that glass, though transparent to sunlight, obstructs radiant heat, de Saussure showed that non-luminous warm objects emitted "obscure" (infrared) heat, and in 1774 measured heat from the sun with a thermometer in a glass-topped insulated box exposed to sunlight for an hour. In an innovative 1824 memoir summarising research into heat transfer, Joseph Fourier assessed sources heating the globe, and the balancing emission of infrared radiation. He proposed, by analogy with de Saussure's device, a simple formulation of what was later called the greenhouse effect; transparent atmosphere lets through visible light, which warms the surface. The warmed surface emits infrared radiation, but the atmosphere is relatively opaque to infrared and slows the emission of energy, warming the planet.
In detailed research starting in 1859, John Tyndall established that nitrogen and oxygen (99% of dry air) are transparent to infrared, but water vapour and traces of complex molecules (significantly methane and carbon dioxide) both absorb infrared and, when warmed, emit infrared radiation. His 1861 paper proposed changing concentrations of these gases could have caused "all the mutations of climate which the researches of geologists reveal" and would explain ice age changes. By then, as Humboldt noted in 1850, decades of climate measurements showed stability in North America rather than the expected improvement, though popular belief that rain follows the plow continued.
Svante Arrhenius noted that water vapour in air continuously varied, but carbon dioxide (CO
2) was determined by long term geological processes. At the end of an ice age, warming from increased CO
2 would increase the amount of water vapour, amplifying its effect in a feedback process. In 1896, after laborious calculations, he published the first climate model of its kind, showing that halving of CO
2 could have produced the drop in temperature initiating the ice age. His source for geology, Arvid Högbom, had estimated industrial carbon output, and Arrhenius calculated the temperature increase expected from doubling CO
2. Other scientists highlighted flaws; Ångström said that saturation of the greenhouse effect meant adding more CO
2 made no difference. Experts thought climate would be self-regulating. From 1938 Guy Stewart Callendar published evidence that climate was warming and CO
2 levels increasing, but his calculations met the same objections.
1950s military research found less saturation of the greenhouse effect at high altitudes. Earlier calculations treated the atmosphere as a single layer, Gilbert Plass used digital computers to model the different layers and found added CO
2 would cause warming. Hans Suess found evidence CO
2 levels had been rising, Roger Revelle showed the oceans would not absorb the increase, and together they helped Charles Keeling to begin a record of continued increase, the Keeling Curve. Revelle, Plass and other scientists alerted media to press for government attention, the dangers of global warming came to the fore at James Hansen's 1988 Congressional testimony. Scientific research on climate change expanded, and the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, set up in 1988 to provide formal advice to the world's governments, has spurred unprecedented levels of exchange between different scientific disciplines.
Research in the 1950s suggested that temperatures were increasing, and a 1952 newspaper used the term "climate change". This phrase next appeared in a November 1957 report in The Hammond Times which described Roger Revelle's research into the effects of increasing human-caused CO
2 emissions on the greenhouse effect: "a large scale global warming, with radical climate changes may result". A 1971 MIT report referred to the human impact as "inadvertent climate modification", identifying many possible causes.
Both the terms global warming and climate change were used only occasionally until 1975, when Wallace Smith Broecker published a scientific paper on the topic, "Climatic Change: Are We on the Brink of a Pronounced Global Warming?". The phrase began to come into common use, and in 1976 Mikhail Budyko's statement that "a global warming up has started" was widely reported. An influential 1979 National Academy of Sciences study headed by Jule Charney followed Broecker in using global warming to refer to rising surface temperatures, while describing the wider effects of increased CO
2 as climate change.
There were increasing heatwaves and drought problems in the summer of 1988, and NASA climate scientist James Hansen's testimony in the U.S. Senate sparked worldwide interest. He said, "Global warming has reached a level such that we can ascribe with a high degree of confidence a cause and effect relationship between the greenhouse effect and the observed warming." Public attention increased over the summer, and global warming became the dominant popular term, commonly used both by the press and in public discourse. In the 2000s, the term climate change increased in popularity.
In technical sources, the term climate change is also used to refer to past and future climate changes that persist for and extended period of time, and includes regional changes as well as global change. People who regard climate change as catastrophic, irreversible, or rapid might label climate change as a climate crisis or a climate emergency. One newspaper, The Guardian, has embraced this terminology (as well as global heating) in their editorial guidelines. In a statement explaining the paper's policy editor-in-chief, Katharine Viner said "We want to ensure that we are being scientifically precise, while also communicating clearly with readers on this very important issue".
Oxford Dictionary chose climate emergency as the word of the year 2019 and defines the term as "a situation in which urgent action is required to reduce or halt climate change and avoid potentially irreversible environmental damage resulting from it." Usage of the term soared more than 10,000% between September 2018 and September 2019.
- Anthropocene – proposed geological time interval for a new period where humans are having significant geological impact
- Global cooling – minority view held by scientists in the 1970s that imminent cooling of the Earth would take place
- Holocene extinction
- Planetary boundaries – climate change is one of them
- IPCC AR5 WG1 Summary for Policymakers 2013, p. 4: Warming of the climate system is unequivocal, and since the 1950s, many of the observed changes are unprecedented over decades to millennia. The atmosphere and ocean have warmed, the amounts of snow and ice have diminished, sea level has risen, and the concentrations of greenhouse gases have increased
- "Myths vs. Facts: Denial of Petitions for Reconsideration of the Endangerment and Cause or Contribute Findings for Greenhouse Gases under Section 202(a) of the Clean Air Act". U.S. Environmental Protection Agency. 25 August 2016. Retrieved 7 August 2017.
The U.S. Global Change Research Program, the National Academy of Sciences, and the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) have each independently concluded that warming of the climate system in recent decades is "unequivocal". This conclusion is not drawn from any one source of data but is based on multiple lines of evidence, including three worldwide temperature datasets showing nearly identical warming trends as well as numerous other independent indicators of global warming (e.g. rising sea levels, shrinking Arctic sea ice).
- Shaftel 2016: "'Climate change' and 'global warming' are often used interchangeably but have distinct meanings. .... Global warming refers to the upward temperature trend across the entire Earth since the early 20th century .... Climate change refers to a broad range of global phenomena ...[which] include the increased temperature trends described by global warming."
- IPCC AR5 SYR Glossary 2014, p. 124: Global warming refers to the gradual increase, observed or projected, in global surface temperature, as one of the consequences of radiative forcing caused by anthropogenic emissions.; IPCC SR15 Ch1 2018, p. 51: "Global warming is defined in this report as an increase in combined surface air and sea surface temperatures averaged over the globe and over a 30-year period. Unless otherwise specified, warming is expressed relative to the period 1850–1900, used as an approximation of pre-industrial temperatures in AR5.".
- Shaftel 2016; Associated Press, 22 September 2015: "The terms global warming and climate change can be used interchangeably. Climate change is more accurate scientifically to describe the various effects of greenhouse gases on the world because it includes extreme weather, storms and changes in rainfall patterns, ocean acidification and sea level.".
- IPCC AR5 WG1 Ch5 2013, pp. 389, 399–400: "5: Information from Paleoclimate Archives: The PETM [around 55.5–55.3 million years ago] was marked by ... global warming of 4 °C to 7 °C ..... Deglacial global warming occurred in two main steps from 17.5 to 14.5 ka [thousand years ago] and 13.0 to 10.0 ka.
- IPCC AR5 SYR Summary for Policymakers 2014, p. 2: SPM 1.1 .... Each of the last three decades has been successively warmer at the Earth’s surface than any preceding decade since 1850. The period from 1983 to 2012 was likely the warmest 30-year period of the last 1400 years in the Northern Hemisphere, where such assessment is possible (medium confidence).
- IPCC AR5 WG1 Summary for Policymakers 2013, p. 17.
- IPCC AR5 WG1 Technical Summary 2013, p. 57.
- Joint science academies' statement 2005.
- "Scientific consensus: Earth's climate is warming". Climate Change: Vital Signs of the Planet prevent dangerous anthropogenic climate change. NASA. Archived from the original on 28 June 2018. Retrieved 7 August 2017.
- "List of Organizations". The Governor's Office of Planning & Research, State of California. Archived from the original on 7 August 2017. Retrieved 7 August 2017.
- IPCC AR5 WG2 Technical Summary 2014, pp. 44–46; D'Odorico et al. 2013.
- National Geographic 2019; NPR 2010.
- Campbella et al. 2016; National Research Council 2012, pp. 26–27.
- Knowlton 2001.
- EPA (19 January 2017). "Climate Impacts on Ecosystems". Archived from the original on 27 January 2018. Retrieved 5 February 2019.
- UNFCCC 1992, Article 2, "Objective".
- Decision 1/CP.16, paragraph 4, in UNFCCC: Cancun 2010: "deep cuts in global greenhouse gas emissions are required according to science, and as documented in the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, with a view to reducing global greenhouse gas emissions so as to hold the increase in global average temperature below 2 °C above preindustrial levels".
- CNN, 12 December 2015; The Guardian, 12 December 2015; Paris Agreement 2015, Article 2, Section 1(a).
- IPCC SR15 Ch1 2018, p. 51,
- UNEP 2018, p. XIV.
- IPCC SR15 Ch1 2018, p. 57: This report adopts the 51-year reference period, 1850–1900 inclusive, assessed as an approximation of pre-industrial levels in AR5 .... Temperatures rose by 0.0 °C–0.2 °C from 1720–1800 to 1850–1900 (Hawkins et al., 2017).
- Hawkins et al. 2017, p. 1844: "The period after 1800 is influenced by the Dalton Minimum in solar activity and the large eruptions of an unlocated volcano in 1808/09, Tambora (1815; Raible et al. 2016), and several others in the 1820s and 1830s. In addition, greenhouse gas concentrations had already increased slightly by this time .... The 1720–1800 period is most suitable to be defined as preindustrial in physical terms ... The 1850–1900 period is a reasonable pragmatic surrogate for preindustrial global mean temperature."
- IPCC AR5 WG1 Summary for Policymakers 2013, pp. 4–5: Global-scale observations from the instrumental era began in the mid-19th century for temperature and other variables ... the period 1880 to 2012 ... multiple independently produced datasets exist.
- IPCC SR15 Summary for Policymakers 2018, p. 4; WMO 2019, p. 6.
- IPCC SR15 Ch1 2018, p. 81.
- IPCC AR5 WG1 Ch2 2013, p. 162.
- IPCC AR5 WG1 Ch5 2013, p. 386; Neukom et al. 2019.
- Hansen et al. 2016; Smithsonian, 26 June 2016
- "Climate Change: Ocean Heat Content". NOAA. 2018. Archived from the original on 12 February 2019. Retrieved 20 February 2019.
- IPCC AR5 WG1 Ch3 2013, p. 257: "Ocean warming dominates the global energy change inventory. Warming of the ocean accounts for about 93% of the increase in the Earth's energy inventory between 1971 and 2010 (high confidence), with warming of the upper (0 to 700 m) ocean accounting for about 64% of the total.
- Kennedy et al. 2010, p. S26. Figure 2.5 shows various graphs.
- USGCRP Chapter 1 2017, p. 35.
- Cazenave et al. 2014.
- IPCC AR4 WG1 Summary for Policymakers 2007.
- Kennedy et al. 2010, pp. S26.
- Kennedy et al. 2010, p. S26, S59-S60.
- IPCC AR4 WG2 Summary for Policymakers 2007, Part B: "Current knowledge about observed impacts of climate change on the natural and human environment".
- IPCC AR4 WG2 Ch1 2007, Sec. 184.108.40.206: "Changes in phenology", p. 99.
- IPCC SRCCL DRAFT Summary for Policymakers 2019, p. 5.
- Sutton, Dong & Gregory 2007.
- United States Environmental Protection Agency 2016, p. 5: "Black carbon that is deposited on snow and ice darkens those surfaces and decreases their reflectivity (albedo). This is known as the snow/ice albedo effect. This effect results in the increased absorption of radiation that accelerates melting."
- NOAA, 10 July 2011.
- IPCC AR5 WG1 Ch12 2013, p. 1062; Cohen et al. 2014.
- NASA, 12 September 2018: "We are seeing a major shift in the circulation in the North Atlantic, likely related to a weakening Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC)", said Pershing. "One of the side effects of a weaker AMOC is that the Gulf Stream shifts northward and the cold current flowing into the Gulf of Maine gets weaker. This means we get more warmer water pushing into the Gulf."
- Sévellec & Drijfhout 2018; Mooney 2018.
- England et al. 2014; Knight et al. 2009.
- Lindsey 2018.
- Delworth & Mann 2000, p. 661.
- Delworth & Zeng 2012, p. 5.
- National Research Council 2012, p. 9.
- IPCC AR4 WG1 Ch9 2007, p. 690: "Recent estimates indicate a relatively small combined effect of natural forcings on the global mean temperature evolution of the second half of the 20th century, with a small net cooling from the combined effects of solar and volcanic forcings."
- Knutson 2017, p. 443; IPCC AR5 WG1 Ch10 2013, pp. 875–876.
- IPCC AR5 WG1 Summary for Policymakers 2013, pp. 13–14.
- NASA. "The Causes of Climate Change". Climate Change: Vital Signs of the Planet. Archived from the original on 8 May 2019. Retrieved 8 May 2019.
- IPCC AR4 WG1 Ch1 2007, FAQ1.1: "To emit 240 W m-2, a surface would have to have a temperature of around −19 °C. This is much colder than the conditions that actually exist at the Earth's surface (the global mean surface temperature is about 14 °C). Instead, the necessary −19 °C is found at an altitude about 5 km above the surface."
- ACS. "What Is the Greenhouse Effect?". Archived from the original on 26 May 2019. Retrieved 26 May 2019.
- Schmidt et al. 2010; USGCRP Climate Science Supplement 2014, p. 742.
- IPCC AR5 WG1 Summary for Policymakers 2013, p. 11.
- BBC, 10 May 2013; Schiermeier 2015.
- Siegenthaler et al. 2005; Lüthi et al. 2008.
- BBC, 10 May 2013.
- IPCC AR5 WG3 Summary for Policymakers 2014, pp. 6–7.
- Poore & Nemecek 2018.
- Bajzelj, Allwood & Cullen 2013.
- Gronewald, Nathaniel; E; NewsNov. 26, E.; 2019; Am, 9:02 (26 November 2019). "New U.N. climate report offers 'bleak' emissions forecast". Science. Retrieved 28 November 2019.
- Ritchie & Roser 2018.
- UN FAO 2016, p. 3.
- TSC Webmaster 2018.
- Curtis et al. 2018.
- IPCC SRCCL DRAFT Summary for Policymakers 2019, p. 9
- Seymour & Gibbs 2019.
- IPCC SRCCL DRAFT Ch2 2019, p. 2-54:The global biophysical cooling alone has been estimated by a larger range of climate models and is -0.10 ± 0.14°C; it ranges from – 0.57°C to +0.06°C .........This cooling is essentially dominated by increases in surface albedo: historical land cover changes have generally led to a dominant brightening of land as discussed in AR5
- Seymour & Gibbs 2019.
- Haywood 2016; Samset et al. 2018.
- IPCC AR5 WG1 Ch2 2013, p. 183.
- He et al. 2018; Storelvmo et al. 2016.
- Ramanathan & Carmichael 2008.
- Wild et al. 2005; Storelvmo et al. 2016; Samset et al. 2018.
- Twomey 1977.
- Albrecht 1989.
- USGCRP Chapter 2 2017, p. 78.
- Ramanathan & Carmichael 2008; RIVM 2016.
- Sand et al. 2015.
- Ramanathan et al. 2008; Ramanathan et al. 2005.
- USGCRP Chapter 2 2017, p. 78
- National Research Council 2008, p. 6.
- "Is the Sun causing global warming?". Climate Change: Vital Signs of the Planet. Archived from the original on 5 May 2019. Retrieved 10 May 2019.
- Schmidt, Shindell & Tsigaridis 2014; Fyfe et al. 2016.
- IPCC AR4 WG1 Ch9 2007, pp. 702–703.
- IPCC AR4 WG1 Ch9 2007, pp. 702–703; Randel et al. 2009.
- USGCRP 2009, p. 20.
- Wang, Shugart & Lerdau 2017.
- "Thermodynamics: Albedo". NSIDC. Archived from the original on 11 October 2017. Retrieved 10 October 2017.
- "The study of Earth as an integrated system". Vitals Signs of the Planet. Earth Science Communications Team at NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory / California Institute of Technology. 2013. Archived from the original on 26 February 2019..
Lindsey, R. (14 January 2009). "Earth's Energy Budget, in: Climate and Earth's Energy Budget: Feature Articles". Earth Observatory, part of the EOS Project Science Office, located at NASA Goddard Space Flight Center. Archived from the original on 2 September 2018.
The amount of heat a surface radiates is proportional to the fourth power of its temperature (in Kelvin).
- Met Office 2016.
- Wolff et al. 2015: "the nature and magnitude of these feedbacks are the principal cause of uncertainty in the response of Earth's climate (over multi-decadal and longer periods) to a particular emissions scenario or greenhouse gas concentration pathway."
- NASA, 28 May 2013.
- Cohen et al. 2014.
- Farquharson et al. 2019; NASA, 20 August 2018; The Guardian, 18 June 2019.
- USGCRP Chapter 2 2017, p. 90.
- NASA, 16 June 2011: "So far, land plants and the ocean have taken up about 55 percent of the extra carbon people have put into the atmosphere while about 45 percent has stayed in the atmosphere. Eventually, the land and oceans will take up most of the extra carbon dioxide, but as much as 20 percent may remain in the atmosphere for many thousands of years."
- Scientific American, 23 January 2018: "Climate change's negative effects on plants will likely outweigh any gains from elevated atmospheric carbon dioxide levels"; IPCC SRCCL DRAFT Ch2 2019, pp. 2–3
- Melillo et al. 2017: Our first-order estimate of a warming-induced loss of 190 Pg of soil carbon over the 21st century is equivalent to the past two decades of carbon emissions from fossil fuel burning.
"How the oceans absorb carbon dioxide is critical for predicting climate change". Archived from the original on 29 March 2019. Retrieved 24 February 2019.
2 modifies the climate which in turn impacts ocean circulation and therefore ocean CO
2 uptake. Changes in marine ecosystems resulting from rising CO
2 and/or changing climate can also result in changes in air-sea CO
2 exchange. These feedbacks can change the role of the oceans in taking up atmospheric CO
2 making it very difficult to predict how the ocean carbon cycle will operate in the future.
- Lenton, Timothy M.; Rockström, Johan; Gaffney, Owen; Rahmstorf, Stefan; Richardson, Katherine; Steffen, Will; Schellnhuber, Hans Joachim (27 November 2019). "Climate tipping points — too risky to bet against". Nature. 575 (7784): 592–595. doi:10.1038/d41586-019-03595-0.
- Phys.org, 6 August 2018: "Hothouse Earth is likely to be uncontrollable and dangerous to many ... global average temperatures would exceed those of any interglacial period—meaning warmer eras that come in between Ice Ages—of the past 1.2 million years."; Steffen et al. 2018: "A Hothouse Earth trajectory would almost certainly flood deltaic environments, increase the risk of damage from coastal storms, and eliminate coral reefs (and all of the benefits that they provide for societies) by the end of this century or earlier". The Guardian, 7 August 2018.
- IPCC AR4 SYR Glossary 2007, "Climate Model Archived 23 December 2018 at the Wayback Machine".
- Carbon Brief, 15 January 2018, "What is a climate model?".
- Carbon Brief, 15 January 2018, "Who does climate modelling around the world?".
- Stott & Kettleborough 2002.
- Carbon Brief, 15 January 2018, "What are the inputs and outputs for a climate model?"; Carbon Brief, 21 March 2019.
- Séférian et al. 2019.
- IPCC AR5 SYR Summary for Policymakers 2014, Sec. 2.1..
- Carbon Brief, 15 January 2018, "What are the different types of climate models?".
- IPCC AR5 WG1 Technical Summary 2013.
- IPCC AR4 WG1 Ch8 2007, Sec. FAQ 8.1.
- Stroeve et al. 2007; National Geographic, 13 August 2019.
- Liepert & Previdi 2009.
- Rahmstorf et al. 2007; Mitchum et al. 2018.
- USGCRP Chapter 15 2017.
- NOAA 2017.
- WCRP Global Sea Level Budget Group 2018.
- IPCC SROCC DRAFT Ch4 2019, p. 4-4: GMSL (global mean sea level, red) will rise between 0.43 m (0.29–0.59 m, likely range) (RCP2.6) and 0.84 m (0.61–1.10 m, likely range) (RCP8.5) by 2100 (medium confidence) relative to 1986–2005.
- U.S. Geological Survey, 18 June 2018.
- DeConto & Pollard 2016; NOAA, 1 August 2018.
- NOAA, 1 August 2018.
- Zhang et al. 2008.
- IPCC AR5 WG1 Ch11 2013, p. 995; Wang & Overland 2009.
- IPCC SROCC DRAFT Summary for Policymakers 2019, B1.7
- Pistone, Eisenman & Ramanathan 2019.
- Doney et al. 2009.
- Deutsch et al. 2011.
- IPCC SREX Summary for Policymakers 2012, section D ("Future Climate Extremes, Impacts, and Disaster Losses"), pp. 9–13.
- USGCRP Chapter 15 2017, p. 415.
- Scientific American, 29 April 2014; Burke & Stott 2017.
- Francis & Vavrus 2012; Sun, Perlwitz & Hoerling 2016; Carbon Brief, 31 January 2019.
- USGCRP Chapter 9 2017, p. 260.
- National Research Council 2011, p. 14, Summary; IPCC AR5 WG1 Ch12 2013, pp. 88–89, FAQ 12.3.
- Crucifix 2016
- Jull & McKenzie 1996.
- McGuire 2010.
- Smith et al. 2009.
- IPCC TAR WG2 Ch19 2001, Section 19.6: Extreme and Irreversible Effects Archived 28 June 2019 at the Wayback Machine.
- Turetsky et al. 2019
- Clark et al. 2008; BBC, 22 February 2013.
- ScienceDaily, 20 December 2004; Liu et al. 2017.
"Global Warming and Polar Bears – National Wildlife Federation". Archived from the original on 17 October 2017. Retrieved 16 October 2017.
As climate change melts sea ice, the U.S. Geological Survey projects that two-thirds of polar bears will disappear by 2050.Amstrup, Marcot & Douglas 2013, p. 213
- IPCC AR4 SYR 2007, Section 1: Observed changes in climate and their effects Archived 23 December 2018 at the Wayback Machine.
- IPCC AR4 WG2 Ch4 2007, Executive Summary Archived 27 June 2019 at the Wayback Machine, p. 213.
- IPCC SRCCL DRAFT Summary for Policymakers 2019, p. 6; Zeng & Yoon 2009.
- The Washington Post, 30 August 2018.
- IPCC AR4 WG2 Ch19 2007, Section 19.3.4: Ecosystems and biodiversity Archived 23 December 2018 at the Wayback Machine.
- ScienceDaily, 28 June 2018.
- Poloczanska et al. 2013.
- Smale et al. 2019.
- UNEP 2010, pp. 4–8.
- ScienceDaily, 21 January 2012.
- National Geographic 15 November 2018; Barbero et al. 2015.
- IPCC AR5 WG2 Technical Summary 2014, pp. 93–94, FAQ 7 and 8.
- IPCC AR5 WG2 Technical Summary 2014, Section B-3: "Regional Risks and Potential for Adaptation", pp. 27–30.
- IPCC AR5 WG2 Ch19 2014, p. 1077.
- Diffenbaugh & Burke 2019; The Guardian, 26 January 2015; Burke, Davis & Diffenbaugh 2018.
- IPCC AR5 WG2 Ch18 2014 Executive Summary (p. 983), an section 8.6.2 (p. 1008).
- IPCC AR4 SYR 2007, Section 3.3.3: Especially affected systems, sectors and regions Archived 23 December 2018 at the Wayback Machine.
- IPCC AR5 WG2 Ch19 2014, pp. 1073–1080.
- IPCC AR5 WG2 Ch7 2014, p. 488.
- IPCC AR5 WG2 Summary for Policymakers 2014, p. 18.
- IPCC AR5 WG2 Ch7 2014, pp. 491–492.
- IPCC SRCCL DRAFT Ch5 2019, p. 5
- Holding et al. 2016; IPCC AR5 WG2 Ch3 2014, pp. 232–233.
- Kabir et al. 2016
- IPCC AR5 WG2 Ch11 2014, p. 742; Costello et al. 2009; Watts et al. 2015.
- IPCC AR5 WG2 Ch11 2014, pp. 720–723.
- Costello et al. 2009; Watts et al. 2015; IPCC AR5 WG2 Ch11 2014, p. 713.
- USA Today, 13 July 2018.
- American Society for Microbiology (23 July 2019). "Rise of Candida auris blamed on global warming". Science Daily. Retrieved 25 July 2019.
- IPCC AR5 WG2 Summary for Policymakers 2014, p. 20.
- The Washington Post, 22 October 2014; Ranson 2014; Marshall, Hsiang & Edward 2014; National Review, 27 February 2014.
- IPCC AR4 SYR 2007, Section 3.3.3: "Especially affected systems, sectors and regions" Archived 23 December 2018 at the Wayback Machine; IPCC AR4 WG2 Ch16 2007, Executive Summary Archived 23 December 2018 at the Wayback Machine.
- UNHCR 2011.
- UN Environment, 25 October 2018; UNFCCC, 17 October 2017.
- IPCC AR5 WG2 Ch13 2014, pp. 796–797
- IPCC AR5 WG2 Ch13 2014, p. 796
- Sherwood & Huber 2010.
- IPCC AR5 SYR Summary for Policymakers 2014, p. 17, Section 3.
- Mitigation Archived 21 January 2015 at the Wayback Machine, in USGCRP 2015.
- IPCC AR4 SYR 2007, Section 4: Adaptation and mitigation options Archived 1 May 2010 at the Wayback Machine; Table TS.3, in IPCC AR5 WG3 Technical Summary 2014, p. 68; The Guardian, 4 July 2019.
- The Guardian, 31 August 2015.
- IPCC AR4 WG3 Ch1 2007, Section 220.127.116.11: Intensities Archived 23 December 2018 at the Wayback Machine.
- NRC 2008; World Bank 2010, p. 71.
- Liverman 2009, p. 289.
- IPCC AR4 WG3 Ch3 2007, Section 3.1: Emissions scenarios: Issues related to mitigation in the long term context Archived 23 December 2018 at the Wayback Machine
- Riahi et al. 2017; Carbon Brief, 19 April 2018.
- IPCC TAR WG3 Summary for Policymakers 2001, Introduction, paragraph 6 Archived 11 March 2006 at the Wayback Machine.
- Matthews et al. 2009; Congressional Research Service 2009, p. 9.
- Carbon Brief, 19 April 2018; Meinshausen 2019, p. 462.
- IPCC AR5 WG3 Ch6 2014, p. 418; IPCC AR5 WG3 Summary for Policymakers 2014, pp. 10–13.
- Climate Action Tracker, 11 December 2018.
- IPCC AR5 WG3 Technical Summary 2014, pp. 55–56.
- IPCC SR15 Summary for Policymakers 2018, p. 15.
- New Climate Institute, 18 September 2019
- UNFCCC, 9 December 2019
- Quam et al. 2017.
- BBC, 17 December 2018.
- United Nations Development Program 2019
- IPCC AR5 WG3 Technical Summary 2014, p. 58.
- The Economist, 7 February 2019.
- Hagmann, Ho & Loewenstein 2019.
- National Geographic, 11 June 2019.
- Center for Climate and Energy Solutions, 18 December 2019.
- BBC, 24 August 2019.
- IPCC SRCCL DRAFT Summary for Policymakers 2019, p. 3
- IPCC AR4 WG2 Technical Summary 2007, p. 27: Box TS.3. Definitions of key terms.
- NASA's Global Climate Change. "Global climate change adaptation and mitigation". Climate Change: Vital Signs of the Planet. Archived from the original on 3 April 2019. Retrieved 12 April 2019.
- IPCC TAR WG2 Ch18 2001, Section 18.2.3: Adaptation Types and Forms.
- IPCC AR5 SYR Summary for Policymakers 2014, Topic 1.6, p. 54.
- IPCC AR5 SYR Summary for Policymakers 2014, Topic 4.5, p. 112.
- "New Report Provides Authoritative Assessment of National, Regional Impacts of Global Climate Change" (Press release). U.S. Global Change Research Program. 16 June 2009. Archived from the original on 13 April 2016. Retrieved 14 January 2016.
- Cole 2008.
- IPCC AR4 WG2 Ch19 2007, p. 796.
- "UN expert condemns failure to address impact of climate change on poverty". OHCHR. 25 June 2019. Archived from the original on 10 July 2019. Retrieved 9 July 2019.
- Lane & Caldeira 2007.
- The Royal Society, 28 August 2009.
- Keller, Feng & Oschlies 2014: "We find that even when applied continuously and at scales as large as currently deemed possible, all methods are, individually, either relatively ineffective with limited (<8%) warming reductions, or they have potentially severe side effects and cannot be stopped without causing rapid climate change."
- UNFCCC 1992, article 2.
- Morgan et al. 2009, p. 11.
- "What is the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change? | UNFCCC". unfccc.int.
- UNFCCC 1992, Article 2.
- IPCC AR4 WG3 Ch1 2007, Executive summary.
- US EPA 2016.
- UNFCCC, accessed 12 May 2019.
- Dessai 2001, p. 4.
- Grubb 2003.
- Liverman 2009, p. 290.
- Kyoto Protocol 1997; Liverman 2009, p. 290.
- Kyoto Protocol 1997.
- Dessai 2001, p. 5.
- Müller 2010; The New York Times, 25 May 2015; UNFCCC: Copenhagen 2009.
- openDemocracy, 12 January 2010; EUobserver, 20 December 2009.
- UNFCCC: Copenhagen 2009.
- Climate Focus 2015, p. 3.
- Climate Focus 2015, p. 5, Finance, technology and capacity building.
- "Status of Treaties, United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change". United Nations Treaty Collection. Retrieved 20 November 2019.; Salon, 25 September 2019.
- The New York Times, 4 November 2019.
- BBC, 1 May 2019; Vice, 2 May 2019.
- Aidt, Mik (4 September 2019). "Climate emergency declarations in 987 jurisdictions and local governments cover 212 million citizens". Climate Emergency Declaration.
- Rankin, Jennifer (28 November 2019). "'Our house is on fire': EU parliament declares climate emergency". The Guardian. ISSN 0261-3077. Retrieved 28 November 2019.
- Goyal et al. 2019
- UN Environment, 20 November 2017.
- Cook et al. 2016.
- NRC 2008, p. 2; DiMento & Doughman 2007, p. 68; Brigham-Grette et al. 2006: "The AAPG stands alone among scientific societies in its denial of human-induced effects on global warming."
- Royal Society 2005.
- IPCC AR5 WG1 Summary for Policymakers 2013, p. 17, D.3 Detection and Attribution of Climate Change.
- Joint statement of the G8+5 Academies (2009).
- Ripple et al. 2017.
- IPCC SR15 Ch4 2018, p. 317; The New York Times, 7 October 2018.
- The Independent, 5 November 2019.
- Ripple et al. 2019
- Weart 2015, "The Public and Climate Change (since 1980)".
- Pew Research Center 2015.
- Gallup, 20 April 2011.
- Gallup, 22 April 2011.
- Pew Research Center, 24 June 2013.
- The Guardian, 15 September 2019.
- Newell 2006, p. 80; Yale Climate Connections, 2 November 2010.
- Shindell et al. 2006.
- Montlake 2019.
- McCright & Dunlap 2000.
- Newsweek, 13 August 2007.
- Boykoff & Boykoff 2004; Oreskes & Conway 2010.
- Poortinga et al. 2018, p. 15.
- Science, 11 July 2017;Wynes & Nicholas 2017.
- The Guardian, 27 February 2019; Vox, 15 October 2018.
- Newsweek, 13 August 2007; The Guardian, 20 September 2006; MSNBC, 12 January 2007; ABC, 3 January 2007.
- A list of oil company statements has been collected at the Environmental Studies website of the University of Wisconsin – Oshkosh. See Oil Company Positions.
- The Economist, 9 February 2009.
- The Guardian, 2 May 2019.
- Gunningham 2018.
- The New York Times, 29 April 2017.
- The Guardian, 19 March 2019.
- BBC, 16 April 2019; Euronews, 22 June 2019; Deutsche Welle, 22 June 2019.
- Setzer, Joana; Byrnes, Rebecca (July 2019). Global trends in climate change litigation: 2019 snapshot (PDF) (Report). London: the Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment and the Centre for Climate Change Economics and Policy.
- Fleming 1998, pp. 11–16, 58, 21–22; Calel 2014.
- Rudwick 2005, pp. 142–144.
- Calel 2014; Fleming 2008, Fourier.
- Barry 1978; Archer & Pierrehumbert 2013, p. 5
- Archer & Pierrehumbert 2013, pp. 10–14
- Tyndall 1861.
- Archer & Pierrehumbert 2013, pp. 39–42; Fleming 2008, Tyndall. In 1856 Eunice Newton Foote experimented using glass cylinders filled with different gases heated by sunlight, but her apparatus could not distinguish the infrared greenhouse effect. She found moist air warmed more than dry air, and CO
2 warmed most, so she concluded higher levels of this in the past would have increased temperatures: Huddleston 2019.
- Fleming 1998, pp. 49–53.
- Weart 2008, "The Carbon Dioxide Greenhouse Effect".
- Fleming 2008, Arrhenius.
- Callendar 1938; Fleming 2007.
- Weart 2014a, Suspicions of a Human-Caused Greenhouse (1956–1969). See also footnote 27.
- Weart 2014b, "News reporters gave only a little attention....".
- Weart 2013, p. 3567.
- Bhargava 2002, p. 211.
- Weart 2014a, Suspicions of a Human-Caused Greenhouse (1956–1969). See also footnote 27.
- NASA, 5 December 2008.
- U.S. Senate, Hearings 1988, p. 44.
- Joo et al. 2015.
- NOAA, 17 June 2015; IPCC AR5 SYR Glossary 2014, p. 120: "Climate change refers to a change in the state of the climate that can be identified (e.g., by using statistical tests) by changes in the mean and/or the variability of its properties and that persists for an extended period, typically decades or longer. Climate change may be due to natural internal processes or external forcings such as modulations of the solar cycles, volcanic eruptions and persistent anthropogenic changes in the composition of the atmosphere or in land use."
- Hodder & Martin 2009.
- The Guardian, 17 May 2019.
- Rice, Doyle (21 November 2019). "'Climate emergency' is Oxford Dictionary's word of the year". USA TODAY. Retrieved 3 December 2019.
TAR Working Group II Report
- IPCC (2001). McCarthy, J.J.; Canziani, O.F.; Leary, N.A.; Dokken, D.J.; et al. (eds.). Climate Change 2001: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability. Contribution of Working Group II to the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA: Cambridge University Press. ISBN 0-521-80768-9. pb: 0 521-01500-6
- Smit, B.; Pilifosova, O.; Burton, I.; Challenger, B.; et al. (2001). "Chapter 18: Adaptation to Climate Change in the Context of Sustainable Development and Equity" (PDF). IPCC TAR WG2 2001. pp. 877–912.
- Smith, J.B.; Schellnhuber, H.-J.; Mirza, M.M.Q.; Fankhauser, S.; et al. (2001). "Chapter 19: Vulnerability to Climate Change and Reasons for Concern: A Synthesis" (PDF). IPCC TAR WG2 2001. pp. 913–967.
TAR Working Group III Report
- IPCC (2001). Metz, B.; Davidson, O.; Swart, R.; Pan, J. (eds.). Climate Change 2001: Mitigation (PDF). Contribution of Working Group III to the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA: Cambridge University Press. ISBN 0-521-80769-7. pb: 0-521-01502-2
AR4 Working Group I Report
- IPCC (2007). Solomon, S.; Qin, D.; Manning, M.; Chen, Z.; et al. (eds.). Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press. ISBN 978-0-521-88009-1. (pb: 978-0-521-70596-7).
- IPCC (2007). "Summary for Policymakers" (PDF). IPCC AR4 WG1 2007. pp. 1–18.
- Le Treut, H.; Somerville, R.; Cubasch, U.; Ding, Y.; et al. (2007). "Chapter 1: Historical Overview of Climate Change Science" (PDF). IPCC AR4 WG1 2007. pp. 93–127.
- Randall, D.A.; Wood, R.A.; Bony, S.; Colman, R.; et al. (2007). "Chapter 8: Climate Models and their Evaluation" (PDF). IPCC AR4 WG1 2007. pp. 589–662.
- Hegerl, G.C.; Zwiers, F.W.; Braconnot, P.; Gillett, N.P.; et al. (2007). "Chapter 9: Understanding and Attributing Climate Change" (PDF). IPCC AR4 WG1 2007. pp. 663–745.
AR4 Working Group II Report
- IPCC (2007). Parry, M.L.; Canziani, O.F.; Palutikof, J.P.; van der Linden, P.J.; et al. (eds.). Climate Change 2007: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press. ISBN 978-0-521-88010-7. (pb: 978-0-521-70597-4).
- IPCC (2007). "Summary for Policymakers" (PDF). IPCC AR4 WG2 2007. pp. 7–22.
- Parry, M.L.; Canziani, O.F.; Palutikof, J.P.; Co-authors (2007). "Technical Summary" (PDF). IPCC AR4 WG2 2007. pp. 23–78.
- Rosenzweig, C.; Casassa, G.; Karoly, D.J.; Imeson, A.; et al. (2007). "Chapter 1: Assessment of observed changes and responses in natural and managed systems" (PDF). IPCC AR4 WG2 2007. pp. 79–131.
- Fischlin, A.; Midgley, G.F.; Price, J.T.; Leemans, R.; et al. (2007). "Chapter 4: Ecosystems, their properties, goods and services" (PDF). IPCC AR4 WG2 2007. pp. 211–272.
- Mimura, N.; Nurse, L.; McLean, R.F.; Agard, J.; et al. (2007). "Chapter 16: Small islands" (PDF). IPCC AR4 WG2 2007. pp. 687–716.
- Schneider, S.H.; Semenov, S.; Patwardhan, A.; Burton, I.; et al. (2007). "Chapter 19: Assessing key vulnerabilities and the risk from climate change" (PDF). IPCC AR4 WG2 2007. pp. 779–810.
AR4 Working Group III Report
- IPCC (2007). Metz, B.; Davidson, O.R.; Bosch, P.R.; Dave, R.; et al. (eds.). Climate Change 2007: Mitigation of Climate Change. Contribution of Working Group III to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press. ISBN 978-0-521-88011-4. (pb: 978-0-521-70598-1).
- Rogner, H.-H.; Zhou, D.; Bradley, R.; Crabbé, P.; et al. (2007). "Chapter 1: Introduction" (PDF). IPCC AR4 WG3 2007. pp. 95–116.
- Fisher, B.S.; Nakicenovic, N.; Alfsen, K.; Corfee Morlot, J.; et al. (2007). "Chapter 3: Issues related to mitigation in the long-term context" (PDF). IPCC AR4 WG3 2007. pp. 169–250.
AR4 Synthesis Report
- IPCC (2007). Core Writing Team; Pachuri, R.K.; Reisinger, A. (eds.). Climate Change 2007: Synthesis Report. Contribution of Working Groups I, II and III to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. IPCC. ISBN 978-92-9169-122-7.
- "Annex II: Glossary". IPCC AR4 SYR 2007. 2007. pp. 76–89.
AR5 Working Group I Report
- IPCC (2013). Stocker, T. F.; Qin, D.; Plattner, G.-K.; Tignor, M.; et al. (eds.). Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA: Cambridge University Press. ISBN 978-1-107-05799-9. (pb: 978-1-107-66182-0).
- IPCC (2013). "Summary for Policymakers" (PDF). IPCC AR5 WG1 2013.
- Stocker, T. F.; Qin, D.; Plattner, G.-K.; Alexander, L. V.; et al. (2013). "Technical Summary" (PDF). IPCC AR5 WG1 2013. pp. 33–115.
- Hartmann, D. L.; Klein Tank, A. M. G.; Rusticucci, M.; Alexander, L. V.; et al. (2013). "Chapter 2: Observations: Atmosphere and Surface" (PDF). IPCC AR5 WG1 2013. pp. 159–254.
- Rhein, M.; Rintoul, S. R.; Aoki, S.; Campos, E.; et al. (2013). "Chapter 3: Observations: Ocean" (PDF). IPCC AR5 WG1 2013. pp. 255–315.
- Masson-Delmotte, V.; Schulz, M.; Abe-Ouchi, A.; Beer, J.; et al. (2013). "Chapter 5: Information from Paleoclimate Archives" (PDF). IPCC AR5 WG1 2013. pp. 383–464.
- Bindoff, N. L.; Stott, P. A.; AchutaRao, K. M.; Allen, M. R.; et al. (2013). "Chapter 10: Detection and Attribution of Climate Change: from Global to Regional" (PDF). IPCC AR5 WG1 2013. pp. 867–952.
- Kirtman, B.; Power, S.; Adedoyin, J.A.; Boer, G.J.; et al. (2013). "Chapter 11: Near-term Climate Change: Projections and Predictability" (PDF). IPCC AR5 WG1 2013. pp. 953–1028.
- Collins, M.; Knutti, R.; Arblaster, J. M.; Dufresne, J.-L.; et al. (2013). "Chapter 12: Long-term Climate Change: Projections, Commitments and Irreversibility" (PDF). IPCC AR5 WG1 2013. pp. 1029–1136.
AR5 Working Group II Report
- IPCC (2014). Field, C.B.; Barros, V.R.; Dokken, D.J.; et al. (eds.). Climate Change 2014: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability. Part A: Global and Sectoral Aspects. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press. ISBN 978-1-107-05807-1. (pb: 978-1-107-64165-5). Chapters 1–20, SPM, and Technical Summary.
- IPCC (2014). "Summary for Policymakers" (PDF). IPCC AR5 WG2 A 2014. pp. 1–32.
- Field, C.B.; Barros, V.R.; Mach, K.J.; Mastrandrea, M.D.; et al. (2014). "Technical Summary" (PDF). IPCC AR5 WG2 A 2014. pp. 35–94.
- Jiménez Cisneros, B. E.; Oki, T.; Arnell, N. W.; Benito, G.; et al. (2014). "Chapter 3: Freshwater Resources" (PDF). IPCC AR5 WG2 A 2014. pp. 229–269.
- Porter, J.R.; Xie, L.; Challinor, A.J.; Cochrane, K.; et al. (2014). "Chapter 7: Food Security and Food Production Systems" (PDF). IPCC AR5 WG2 A 2014. pp. 485–533.
- Smith, K. R.; Woodward, A.; Campbell-Lendrum, D.; Chadee, D. D.; et al. (2014). "Chapter 11: Human Health: Impacts, Adaptation, and Co-Benefits" (PDF). In IPCC AR5 WG2 A 2014. pp. 709–754.
- Olsson, L.; Opondo, M.; Tschakert, P.; Agrawal, A.; et al. (2014). "Chapter 13: Livelihoods and Poverty" (PDF). IPCC AR5 WG2 A 2014. pp. 793–832.
- Cramer, W.; Yohe, G.W.; Auffhammer, M.; Huggel, C.; et al. (2014). "Chapter 18: Detection and Attribution of Observed Impacts" (PDF). IPCC AR5 WG2 A 2014. pp. 979–1037.
- Oppenheimer, M.; Campos, M.; Warren, R.; Birkmann, J.; et al. (2014). "Chapter 19: Emergent Risks and Key Vulnerabilities" (PDF). IPCC AR5 WG2 A 2014. pp. 1039–1099.
AR5 Working Group III Report
- IPCC (2014). Edenhofer, O.; Pichs-Madruga, R.; Sokona, Y.; et al. (eds.). Climate Change 2014: Mitigation of Climate Change. Contribution of Working Group III to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA: Cambridge University Press. ISBN 978-1-107-05821-7. (pb: 978-1-107-65481-5).
- IPCC (2014). "Summary for Policymakers" (PDF). IPCC AR5 WG3 2014.
- Edenhofer, O.; Pichs-Madruga, R.; Sokona, Y.; Kadner, S.; et al. (2014). "Technical Summary" (PDF). IPCC AR5 WG3 2014.
- Clarke, L.; Jiang, K.; Akimoto, K.; Babiker, M.; et al. (2014). "Chapter 6: Assessing Transformation Pathways" (PDF). IPCC AR5 WG3 2014.
AR5 Synthesis Report
- IPCC AR5 SYR (2014). The Core Writing Team; Pachauri, R.K.; Meyer, L.A. (eds.). Climate Change 2014: Synthesis Report. Contribution of Working Groups I, II and III to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Geneva, Switzerland: IPCC.
Special Report: SREX
- IPCC (2012). Field, C.B.; Barros, V.; Stocker, T.F.; Qin, D.; Dokken, D.J.; Ebi, K.L.; Mastrandrea, M.D.; Mach, K.J.; Plattner, G.-K.; Allen, S.K.; Tignor, M.; Midgley, P.M. (eds.). Managing the Risks of Extreme Events and Disasters to Advance Climate Change Adaptation (PDF). A Special Report of Working Groups I and II of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge, UK, and New York, NY, USA: Cambridge University Press. p. 582. ISBN 978-1-107-02506-6.
Special Report: SR15
- IPCC (2018). Masson-Delmotte, V.; Zhai, P.; Pörtner, H. O.; Roberts, D.; et al. (eds.). Global Warming of 1.5 °C. An IPCC Special Report on the impacts of global warming of 1.5 °C above pre-industrial levels and related global greenhouse gas emission pathways, in the context of strengthening the global response to the threat of climate change, sustainable development, and efforts to eradicate poverty. In Press. – "Special Report: Global Warming of 1.5 °C".
- IPCC (2018). "Summary for Policymakers" (PDF). IPCC SR15 2018. pp. 3–24.
- Allen, M.; Dube, O. P.; Solecki, W.; Aragón-Durand, F.; et al. (2018). "Chapter 1: Framing and Context" (PDF). IPCC SR15 2018. pp. 47–91.
- de Coninck, H.; Revi, A.; Babiker, M.; Bertoldi, P.; et al. (2018). "Chapter 4: Strengthening and Implementing the Global Response.". IPCC SR15 2018.
Special Report: Climate change and Land
- IPCC (2019). Climate Change and Land. An IPCC Special Report on Climate Change, Desertification, Land Degradation, Sustainable Land Management, Food Security, and Greenhouse gas fluxes in Terrestrial Ecosystems. In press.CS1 maint: display-editors (link)
- IPCC (2019). "Summary for Policymakers" (PDF). IPCC SRCCL DRAFT 2019.
- Jia, G.; Shevliakova, E.; Artaxo Netto, P. E.; De Noblet-Ducoudré, N.; et al. (2019). "Chapter 2: Land-Climate Interactions" (PDF). IPCC SRCCL DRAFT Ch2 2019.
- Mbow, C.; Rosenzweig, C.; Barioni, L. G.; Benton, T.; et al. (2019). "Chapter 5: Food Security" (PDF). IPCC SRCCL DRAFT Ch5 2019.
Special Report: SROCC
- IPCC (2019). Pörtner, H.-O.; Roberts, D.C.; Masson-Delmotte, V.; Zhai, P.; et al. (eds.). IPCC Special Report on the Ocean and Cryosphere in a Changing Climate [DRAFT]. In press..
- IPCC (2019). "Summary for Policymakers" (PDF). IPCC SROCC DRAFT 2019.
- Glavovic, B.; Oppenheimer, M.; Abd-Elgawad, A.; Cai, R.; et al. (2019). "Chapter 4: Sea Level Rise and Implications for Low Lying Islands, Coasts and Communities" (PDF). IPCC SROCC DRAFT 2019.
Other peer-reviewed sources
- Bhargava, Gopal (2002). Ecological Politics: Different Dimensions. Gyan Publishing House. ISBN 9788178350196.
- Albrecht, Bruce A. (1989). "Aerosols, Cloud Microphysics, and Fractional Cloudiness". Science. 245 (4923): 1227–1239. Bibcode:1989Sci...245.1227A. doi:10.1126/science.245.4923.1227. PMID 17747885.
- Amstrup, S. C.; Marcot, B. G.; Douglas, D. C. (2013). "A Bayesian Network Modeling Approach to Forecasting the 21st Century Worldwide Status of Polar Bears" (PDF). Arctic Sea Ice Decline: Observations, Projections, Mechanisms, and Implications. Geophysical Monograph Series 180. pp. 213–268. doi:10.1029/180GM14. ISBN 9781118666470. Archived from the original (PDF) on 8 August 2017. Retrieved 24 August 2018.
- Andrews, Timothy; Betts, Betts; Booth, Ben; Jones, Chris; et al. (2016). "Effective radiative forcing from historical land use change". Climate Dynamics. 48 (11–12): 3489–3505. doi:10.1007/s00382-016-3280-7.
- Bajzelj, B.; Allwood, J.; Cullen, J. (2013). "Designing Climate Change Mitigation Plans That Add Up". Environmental Science and Technology. 47 (14): 8062–8069. Bibcode:2013EnST...47.8062B. doi:10.1021/es400399h. PMC 3797518. PMID 23799265.
- Barbero, R.; Abatzoglou, J. T.; Larkin, N. K.; Kolden, C. A.; et al. (2015). "Climate change presents increased potential for very large fires in the contiguous United States". International Journal of Wildland Fire. 24 (7): 892–899. doi:10.1071/WF15083. ISSN 1448-5516.
- Barry, R. G. (1978). "H.-B. de Saussure: The First Mountain Meteorologist". Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. American Meteorological Society. 59 (6): 702–705. doi:10.1175/1520-0477(1978)059<0702:hbdstf>2.0.co;2. ISSN 0003-0007.
- Boykoff, Maxwell T.; Boykoff, Jules M. (2004). "Balance as bias: global warming and the US prestige press" (PDF). Global Environmental Change Part A. 14 (2): 125–136. doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2003.10.001. Archived (PDF) from the original on 6 August 2017.
- Brigham-Grette, Julie; Anderson, Scott; Clague, John; Cole, Julia; et al. (2006). "Petroleum Geologists' Award to Novelist Crichton Is Inappropriate". Eos. 87 (36): 364. Bibcode:2006EOSTr..87..364B. doi:10.1029/2006EO360008.
- Burke, Claire; Stott, Peter (2017). "Impact of Anthropogenic Climate Change on the East Asian Summer Monsoon". Journal of Climate. 30 (14): 5205–5220. arXiv:1704.00563. Bibcode:2017JCli...30.5205B. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0892.1. ISSN 0894-8755.
- Burke, Marshall; Davis, W. Matthew; Diffenbaugh, Noah S (2018). "Large potential reduction in economic damages under UN mitigation targets". Nature. 557 (7706): 549–553. Bibcode:2018Natur.557..549B. doi:10.1038/s41586-018-0071-9. ISSN 1476-4687. PMID 29795251.
- Callendar, G. S. (1938). "The artificial production of carbon dioxide and its influence on temperature". Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. 64 (275): 223–240. Bibcode:1938QJRMS..64..223C. doi:10.1002/qj.49706427503.
- Campbella, Bruce M.; Vermeulen, Sonja J.; Aggarwa, Pramod K.; Corner-Dolloff, Caitlin; et al. (2016). "Reducing risks to food security from climate change". Global Food Security. 11: 34–43. doi:10.1016/j.gfs.2016.06.002.
- Cazenave, Anny; Dieng, Habib-Boubacar; Meyssignac, Benoit; von Schuckmann, Karina; Decharme, Bertrand; Berthier, Etienne (2014). "The rate of sea-level rise". Nature Climate Change. 4 (5): 358–361. Bibcode:2014NatCC...4..358C. doi:10.1038/nclimate2159. ISSN 1758-6798.
- Cohen, Judah; Screen, James; Furtado, Jason C.; Barlow, Mathew; et al. (2014). "Recent Arctic amplification and extreme mid-latitude weather" (PDF). Nature Geoscience. 7 (9): 627–637. Bibcode:2014NatGe...7..627C. doi:10.1038/ngeo2234. ISSN 1752-0908.
- Cole, Daniel H. (2008). "Climate Change, Adaptation, and Development". UCLA Journal of Environmental Law and Policy. 26 (1).
- Cook, John; Oreskes, Naomi; Doran, Peter T.; Anderegg, William R. L.; et al. (13 April 2016). "Consensus on consensus: a synthesis of consensus estimates on human-caused global warming". Environmental Research Letters. 11 (4): 048002. Bibcode:2016ERL....11d8002C. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/11/4/048002.
- Costello, Anthony; Abbas, Mustafa; Allen, Adriana; Ball, Sarah; et al. (May 2009). "Managing the health effects of climate change". The Lancet. 373 (9676): 1693–1733. doi:10.1016/S0140-6736(09)60935-1. PMID 19447250. Archived from the original on 13 August 2017.
- Curtis, P.; Slay, C.; Harris, N.; Tyukavina, A.; et al. (2018). "Classifying drivers of global forest loss". Science. 361 (6407): 1108–1111. doi:10.1126/science.aau3445.
- DeConto, Robert M.; Pollard, David (2016). "Contribution of Antarctica to past and future sea-level rise". Nature. 531 (7596): 591–597. Bibcode:2016Natur.531..591D. doi:10.1038/nature17145. ISSN 1476-4687. PMID 27029274.
- Delworth, T. L.; Mann, M. E. (September 2000). "Observed and simulated multidecadal variability in the Northern Hemisphere". Climate Dynamics. 16 (9): 661–676. Bibcode:2000ClDy...16..661D. doi:10.1007/s003820000075. ISSN 1432-0894.
- Delworth, Thomas L.; Zeng, Fanrong (2012). "Multicentennial variability of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation and its climatic influence in a 4000 year simulation of the GFDL CM2.1 climate model". Geophysical Research Letters. 39 (13): n/a. Bibcode:2012GeoRL..3913702D. doi:10.1029/2012GL052107. ISSN 1944-8007.
- Dessai, Suraje (December 2001). "The climate regime from The Hague to Marrakech: Saving or sinking the Kyoto Protocol?" (PDF). Tyndall Centre Working Paper 12. Tyndall Centre. Archived from the original (PDF) on 10 June 2012. Retrieved 5 May 2010.
- Deutsch, Curtis; Brix, Holger; Ito, Taka; Frenzel, Hartmut; et al. (2011). "Climate-Forced Variability of Ocean Hypoxia" (PDF). Science. 333 (6040): 336–339. Bibcode:2011Sci...333..336D. doi:10.1126/science.1202422. PMID 21659566. Archived (PDF) from the original on 9 May 2016.
- Diffenbaugh, Noah S.; Burke, Marshall (2019). "Global warming has increased global economic inequality". Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 116 (20): 9808–9813. doi:10.1073/pnas.1816020116. ISSN 0027-8424. PMC 6525504. PMID 31010922.
- D'Odorico, Paolo; Bhattachan, Abinash; Davis, Kyle F.; Ravi, Sujith; Runyan, Christiane W. (2013). "Global desertification: Drivers and feedbacks". Advances in Water Resources. 51: 326–344. Bibcode:2013AdWR...51..326D. doi:10.1016/j.advwatres.2012.01.013.
- Doney, Scott C.; Fabry, Victoria J.; Feely, Richard A.; Kleypas, Joan A. (2009). "Ocean Acidification: The Other CO2 Problem". Annual Review of Marine Science. 1 (1): 169–192. Bibcode:2009ARMS....1..169D. doi:10.1146/annurev.marine.010908.163834. PMID 21141034.
- Duveiller, Gregory; Hooker, Josh; Cescatti, Alessandro (2018). "The mark of vegetation change on Earth's surface energy balance". Nature Communications. 9 (1): 679. Bibcode:2018NatCo...9..679D. doi:10.1038/s41467-017-02810-8. ISSN 2041-1723. PMC 5820346. PMID 29463795.
- England, Matthew H.; McGregor, Shayne; Spence, Paul; Meehl, Gerald A.; et al. (9 February 2014). "Recent intensification of wind-driven circulation in the Pacific and the ongoing warming hiatus" (PDF). Nature Climate Change. 4 (3): 222–227. Bibcode:2014NatCC...4..222E. doi:10.1038/nclimate2106. Archived (PDF) from the original on 9 August 2017. Retrieved 29 January 2019.
- Fahey, D. W.; Doherty, S. J.; Hibbard, K. A.; Romanou, A.; Taylor, P. C. (2017). "Chapter 2: Physical Drivers of Climate Change" (PDF). In USGCRP2017 (Report).
- Farquharson, Louise M.; Romanovsky, Vladimir E.; Cable, William L.; Walker, Donald A.; et al. (2019). "Climate change drives widespread and rapid thermokarst development in very cold permafrost in the Canadian High Arctic". Geophysical Research Letters. 46 (12): 6681–6689. Bibcode:2019GeoRL..46.6681F. doi:10.1029/2019GL082187. ISSN 1944-8007.
- Francis, Jennifer A.; Vavrus, Stephen (2012). "Evidence linking Arctic amplification to extreme weather in mid-latitudes". Geophysical Research Letters. 39 (6): n/a. Bibcode:2012GeoRL..39.6801F. doi:10.1029/2012GL051000.
- Fyfe, John C.; Meehl, Gerald A.; England, Matthew H.; Mann, Michael E.; et al. (March 2016). "Making sense of the early-2000s warming slowdown" (PDF). Nature Climate Change. 6 (3): 224–228. Bibcode:2016NatCC...6..224F. doi:10.1038/nclimate2938. Archived (PDF) from the original on 7 February 2019.
- Good, P.; Gosling, Simon N.; Bernie, Dan; Caesar, John; et al. (2010). An updated review of developments in climate science research since IPCC AR4. A report by the AVOID consortium (PDF). London: Committee on Climate Change. p. 14. Archived (PDF) from the original on 24 September 2018. Retrieved 15 September 2013.. Report website. Archived 18 November 2013 at the Wayback Machine
- Goyal, Rishav; England, Matthew H; Sen Gupta, Alex; Jucker, Martin (2019). "Reduction in surface climate change achieved by the 1987 Montreal Protocol". Environmental Research Letters. 14 (12): 124041. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ab4874. ISSN 1748-9326.
- Grubb, M. (2003). "The Economics of the Kyoto Protocol" (PDF). World Economics. 4 (3): 144–145. Archived from the original (PDF) on 4 September 2012.
- Gunningham, Neil (2018). "Mobilising civil society: can the climate movement achieve transformational social change?" (PDF). Interface: A Journal for and About Social Movements. 10. Archived (PDF) from the original on 12 April 2019. Retrieved 12 April 2019.
- Hagmann, David; Ho, Emily H.; Loewenstein, George (2019). "Nudging out support for a carbon tax". Nature Climate Change. 9 (6): 484–489. Bibcode:2019NatCC...9..484H. doi:10.1038/s41558-019-0474-0.
- Hansen, James; Sato, Makiko; Hearty, Paul; Ruedy, Reto; et al. (2016). "Ice melt, sea level rise and superstorms: evidence from paleoclimate data, climate modeling, and modern observations that 2 °C global warming could be dangerous". Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics. 16 (6): 3761–3812. doi:10.5194/acp-16-3761-2016. ISSN 1680-7316.
- Hawkins, Ed; Ortega, Pablo; Suckling, Emma; Schurer, Andrew; et al. (2017). "Estimating Changes in Global Temperature since the Preindustrial Period". Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 98 (9): 1841–1856. Bibcode:2017BAMS...98.1841H. doi:10.1175/bams-d-16-0007.1. ISSN 0003-0007.
- He, Yanyi; Wang, Kaicun; Zhou, Chunlüe; Wild, Martin (2018). "A Revisit of Global Dimming and Brightening Based on the Sunshine Duration". Geophysical Research Letters. 45 (9): 4281–4289. Bibcode:2018GeoRL..45.4281H. doi:10.1029/2018GL077424. ISSN 1944-8007.
- Hodder, Patrick; Martin, Brian (2009). "Climate Crisis? The Politics of Emergency Framing". Economic and Political Weekly. 44 (36): 53–60. ISSN 0012-9976. JSTOR 25663518.
- Holding, S.; Allen, D. M.; Foster, S.; Hsieh, A.; et al. (2016). "Groundwater vulnerability on small islands". Nature Climate Change. 6 (12): 1100–1103. Bibcode:2016NatCC...6.1100H. doi:10.1038/nclimate3128. ISSN 1758-6798.
- IAP (June 2009). Interacademy Panel (IAP) Member Academies Statement on Ocean Acidification. Archived from the original on 6 August 2013. Retrieved 15 September 2013., Secretariat: TWAS (the Academy of Sciences for the Developing World), Trieste, Italy.
- Joo, Gea-Jae; Kim, Ji Yoon; Do, Yuno; Lineman, Maurice (2015). "Talking about Climate Change and Global Warming". PLOS ONE. 10 (9): e0138996. Bibcode:2015PLoSO..1038996L. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0138996. ISSN 1932-6203. PMC 4587979. PMID 26418127.
- Jull, M.; McKenzie, D. (1996). "The effect of deglaciation on mantle melting beneath Iceland". Journal of Geophysical Research. 101 (B10): 21, 815–21, 828. Bibcode:1996JGR...10121815J. doi:10.1029/96jb01308.
- Kabir, Russell; Khan, Hafiz T. A.; Ball, Emma; Caldwell, Khan (2016). "Climate Change Impact: The Experience of the Coastal Areas of Bangladesh Affected by Cyclones Sidr and Aila". Journal of Environmental and Public Health. 2016: 9654753. doi:10.1155/2016/9654753. PMC 5102735. PMID 27867400.
- Keller, David P.; Feng, Ellias Y.; Oschlies, Andreas (2014). "Potential climate engineering effectiveness and side effects during a high carbon dioxide-emission scenario". Nature Communications. 5: 3304. Bibcode:2014NatCo...5.3304K. doi:10.1038/ncomms4304. PMC 3948393. PMID 24569320.
- Kennedy, J. J.; Thorne, W. P.; Peterson, T. C.; Ruedy, R. A.; et al. (July 2010). Arndt, D. S.; Baringer, M. O.; Johnson, M. R. (eds.). "How do we know the world has warmed?". Special supplement: State of the Climate in 2009. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 91 (7). S26-S27. doi:10.1175/BAMS-91-7-StateoftheClimate.
- Kopp, R. E.; Hayhoe, K.; Easterling, D.R.; Hall, T.; et al. (2017). "Chapter 15: Potential Surprises: Compound Extremes and Tipping Elements". In USGCRP 2017. US National Climate Assessment. Archived from the original on 20 August 2018.
- Knowlton, Nancy (2001). "The future of coral reefs". Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 98 (10): 5419–5425. Bibcode:2001PNAS...98.5419K. doi:10.1073/pnas.091092998. ISSN 0027-8424. PMC 33228. PMID 11344288.
- Knight, J.; Kenney, J. J.; Folland, C.; Harris, G.; Jones, G. S.; Palmer, M.; Parker, D.; Scaife, A.; Stott, P. (August 2009). "Do Global Temperature Trends Over the Last Decade Falsify Climate Predictions? [in "State of the Climate in 2008"]". Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 90 (8): S75–S79. doi:10.1175/BAMS-91-7-StateoftheClimate.
- Kossin, J. P.; Hall, T.; Knutson, T.; Kunkel, K. E.; Trapp, R. J.; Waliser, D. E.; Wehner, M. F. (2017). "Chapter 9: Extreme Storms". In USGCRP2017 (Report).
- Knutson, T. (2017). "Appendix C: Detection and attribution methodologies overview.". In USGCRP2017 (Report).
- Liepert, Beate G.; Previdi, Michael (2009). "Do Models and Observations Disagree on the Rainfall Response to Global Warming?". Journal of Climate. 22 (11): 3156–3166. Bibcode:2009JCli...22.3156L. doi:10.1175/2008JCLI2472.1.
- Liverman, Diana M. (April 2009). "Conventions of climate change: constructions of danger and the dispossession of the atmosphere". Journal of Historical Geography. 35 (2): 279–296. doi:10.1016/j.jhg.2008.08.008.
- Liu, Wei; Xie, Shang-Ping; Liu, Zhengyu; Zhu, Jiang (2017). "Overlooked possibility of a collapsed Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation in warming climate". Science Advances. 3 (1): e1601666. Bibcode:2017SciA....3E1666L. doi:10.1126/sciadv.1601666. PMC 5217057. PMID 28070560.
- Lüthi, Dieter; Le Floch, Martine; Bereiter, Bernhard; Blunier, Thomas; et al. (2008). "High-resolution carbon dioxide concentration record 650,000–800,000 years before present" (PDF). Nature. 453 (7193): 379–382. Bibcode:2008Natur.453..379L. doi:10.1038/nature06949. PMID 18480821.
- Marshall, Burke; Hsiang, Solomon M.; Edward, Miguel (2014). "Climate and Conflict". NBER. doi:10.3386/w20598. Archived from the original on 18 November 2018.
- Matthews, H. Damon; Gillett, Nathan P.; Stott, Peter A.; Zickfeld, Kirsten (2009). "The proportionality of global warming to cumulative carbon emissions". Nature. 459 (7248): 829–832. doi:10.1038/nature08047. ISSN 1476-4687. PMID 19516338.
- McCright, Aaron M.; Dunlap, Riley E. (November 2000). "Challenging Global Warming as a Social Problem: An Analysis of the Conservative Movement's Counter-Claims". Social Problems. 47 (4): 499–522. doi:10.2307/3097132. JSTOR 3097132.
- McGuire, Bill (2010). "Climate forcing of geological and geomorphological hazards". Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences. 368 (1919): 2311–2315. Bibcode:2010RSPTA.368.2311M. doi:10.1098/rsta.2010.0077. PMID 20403830.
- Melillo, J. M.; Frey, S. D.; DeAngelis, K. M.; Werner, W. J.; et al. (2017). "Long-term pattern and magnitude of soil carbon feedback to the climate system in a warming world". Science. 358 (6359): 101–105. Bibcode:2017Sci...358..101M. doi:10.1126/science.aan2874. PMID 28983050.
- Mitchum, G. T.; Masters, D.; Hamlington, B. D.; Fasullo, J. T.; et al. (2018). "Climate-change–driven accelerated sea-level rise detected in the altimeter era". Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 115 (9): 2022–2025. Bibcode:2018PNAS..115.2022N. doi:10.1073/pnas.1717312115. ISSN 0027-8424. PMC 5834701. PMID 29440401.
- National Research Council (2011). Climate Stabilization Targets: Emissions, Concentrations, and Impacts over Decades to Millennia. Washington, DC: National Academies Press. doi:10.17226/12877. ISBN 978-0-309-15176-4. Archived from the original on 20 July 2010. Retrieved 19 August 2013.
- National Research Council (2011). America's Climate Choices. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi:10.17226/12781. ISBN 978-0-309-14585-5. Archived from the original on 21 July 2015. Retrieved 28 January 2019.
- Neukom, Raphael; Steiger, Nathan; Gómez-Navarro, Juan José; Wang, Jianghao; et al. (2019). "No evidence for globally coherent warm and cold periods over the preindustrial Common Era". Nature. 571 (7766): 550–554. Bibcode:2019Natur.571..550N. doi:10.1038/s41586-019-1401-2. ISSN 1476-4687. PMID 31341300.
- Pistone, Kristina; Eisenman, Ian; Ramanathan, Veerabhadran (2019). "Radiative Heating of an Ice-Free Arctic Ocean". Geophysical Research Letters. 46 (13): 7474–7480. Bibcode:2019GeoRL..46.7474P. doi:10.1029/2019GL082914. ISSN 1944-8007.
- Poloczanska, Elvira S.; Brown, Christopher J.; Sydeman, William J.; Kiessling, Wolfgang; et al. (2013). "Global imprint of climate change on marine life" (PDF). Nature Climate Change. 3 (10): 919–925. Bibcode:2013NatCC...3..919P. doi:10.1038/nclimate1958. ISSN 1758-6798.
- Poore, J.; Nemecek, T. (2018). "Reducing food's environmental impacts through producers and consumers". Science. 360 (6392): 987–992. Bibcode:2018Sci...360..987P. doi:10.1126/science.aaq0216. ISSN 0036-8075. PMID 29853680.
- Quam, Vivian G. M.; Rocklöv, Joacim; Quam, Mikkel B. M.; Lucas, Rebekah A. I. (2017). "Assessing Greenhouse Gas Emissions and Health Co-Benefits: A Structured Review of Lifestyle-Related Climate Change Mitigation Strategies". International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health. 14 (5): 468. doi:10.3390/ijerph14050468. PMC 5451919. PMID 28448460.
- Rahmstorf, Stefan; Cazenave, Anny; Church, John A.; Hansen, James E.; et al. (2007). "Recent Climate Observations Compared to Projections" (PDF). Science. 316 (5825): 709. Bibcode:2007Sci...316..709R. doi:10.1126/science.1136843. PMID 17272686. Archived (PDF) from the original on 6 September 2018.
- Ramanathan, V.; Agrawal, M.; Akimoto, H.; Aufhamer, M.; et al. (2008). Report Summary (PDF). Atmospheric Brown Clouds: Regional Assessment Report with Focus on Asia (Report). United Nations Environment Programme. Archived from the original (PDF) on 18 July 2011.
- Ramanathan, V.; Carmichael, G. (2008). "Global and Regional Climate Changes due to Black Carbon". Nature Geoscience. 1 (4): 221–227. Bibcode:2008NatGe...1..221R. doi:10.1038/ngeo156.
- Ramanathan, V.; Chung, C.; Kim, D.; Bettge, T.; Buja, L.; Kiehl, J. T.; Washington, W. M.; Fu, Q.; Sikka, D. R.; Wild, M. (2005). "Atmospheric brown clouds: Impacts on South Asian climate and hydrological cycle". Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 102 (15): 5326–5333. Bibcode:2005PNAS..102.5326R. doi:10.1073/pnas.0500656102. PMC 552786. PMID 15749818.
- Randel, William J.; Shine, Keith P.; Austin, John; Barnett, John; et al. (2009). "An update of observed stratospheric temperature trends" (PDF). Journal of Geophysical Research. 114 (D2): D02107. Bibcode:2009JGRD..11402107R. doi:10.1029/2008JD010421.
- Ranson, Matthew (2014). "Crime, weather, and climate change". Journal of Environmental Economics and Management. 67 (3): 274–302. doi:10.1016/j.jeem.2013.11.008. ISSN 0095-0696.
- Riahi, Keywan; van Vuuren, Detlef P.; Kriegler, Elmar; Edmonds, Jae; et al. (2017). "The Shared Socioeconomic Pathways and their energy, land use, and greenhouse gas emissions implications: An overview". Global Environmental Change. 42: 153–168. doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.05.009. ISSN 0959-3780.
- Ripple, William J.; Wolf, Christopher; Newsome, Thomas M.; Galetti, Mauro; et al. (2017). "World Scientists' Warning to Humanity: A Second Notice". BioScience. 67 (12): 1026–1028. doi:10.1093/biosci/bix125.
- Ripple, William J.; Wolf, Christopher; Newsome, Thomas M.; Barnard, Phoebe; et al. (2019). "World Scientists' Warning of a Climate Emergency". BioScience. doi:10.1093/biosci/biz088.
- Samset, B. H.; Sand, M.; Smith, C. J.; Bauer, S. E.; et al. (2018). "Climate Impacts From a Removal of Anthropogenic Aerosol Emissions" (PDF). Geophysical Research Letters. 45 (2): 1020–1029. Bibcode:2018GeoRL..45.1020S. doi:10.1002/2017GL076079. ISSN 1944-8007.
- Sand, M.; Berntsen, T. K.; von Salzen, K.; Flanner, M. G.; et al. (2015). "Response of Arctic temperature to changes in emissions of short-lived climate forcers". Nature. 6.
- Schmidt, Gavin A.; Ruedy, Reto A.; Miller, Ron L.; Lacis, Andy A. (2010). "Attribution of the present-day total greenhouse effect". Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres. 115 (D20): D20106. Bibcode:2010JGRD..11520106S. doi:10.1029/2010JD014287. ISSN 2156-2202.
- Schmidt, Gavin A.; Shindell, Drew T.; Tsigaridis, Kostas (March 2014). "Reconciling warming trends". Nature Geoscience. 7 (3): 158–160. Bibcode:2014NatGe...7..158S. doi:10.1038/ngeo2105. hdl:2060/20150000726.
- Séférian, Roland; Smith, Christopher J.; Kriegler, Elmar; Forster, Piers M.; Rogelj, Joeri (2019). "Estimating and tracking the remaining carbon budget for stringent climate targets". Nature. 571 (7765): 335–342. Bibcode:2019Natur.571..335R. doi:10.1038/s41586-019-1368-z. ISSN 1476-4687. PMID 31316194.
- Sévellec, Florian; Drijfhout, Sybren S. (2018). "A novel probabilistic forecast system predicting anomalously warm 2018–2022 reinforcing the long-term global warming trend". Nature Communications. 9 (1): 3024. Bibcode:2018NatCo...9.3024S. doi:10.1038/s41467-018-05442-8. PMC 6092397. PMID 30108213.
- Sherwood, Steven C.; Huber, Matthew (2010). "An adaptability limit to climate change due to heat stress". PNAS. 107 (21): 9552–9555. doi:10.1073/pnas.0913352107. PMC 2906879. PMID 20439769.
- Shindell, Drew; Faluvegi, Greg; Lacis, Andrew; Hansen, James; et al. (2006). "Role of tropospheric ozone increases in 20th-century climate change" (PDF). Journal of Geophysical Research. 111 (D8): D08302. Bibcode:2006JGRD..11108302S. doi:10.1029/2005JD006348. Archived (PDF) from the original on 10 August 2017.
- Siegenthaler, Urs; Stocker, Thomas F.; Monnin, Eric; Lüthi, Dieter; et al. (2005). "Stable Carbon Cycle–Climate Relationship During the Late Pleistocene" (PDF). Science. 310 (5752): 1313–1317. Bibcode:2005Sci...310.1313S. doi:10.1126/science.1120130. PMID 16311332.
- Sutton, Rowan T.; Dong, Buwen; Gregory, Jonathan M. (16 January 2007). "Land/sea warming ratio in response to climate change: IPCC AR4 model results and comparison with observations". Geophysical Research Letters. 34 (2): L02701. Bibcode:2007GeoRL..3402701S. doi:10.1029/2006GL028164.
- Smale, Dan A.; Wernberg, Thomas; Oliver, Eric C. J.; Thomsen, Mads; Harvey, Ben P. (2019). "Marine heatwaves threaten global biodiversity and the provision of ecosystem services" (PDF). Nature Climate Change. 9 (4): 306–312. Bibcode:2019NatCC...9..306S. doi:10.1038/s41558-019-0412-1. ISSN 1758-6798.
- Smith, Joel B.; Schneider, Stephen H.; Oppenheimer, Michael; Yohe, Gary W.; et al. (17 March 2009). "Assessing dangerous climate change through an update of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) 'reasons for concern'". Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 106 (11): 4133–4137. Bibcode:2009PNAS..106.4133S. doi:10.1073/pnas.0812355106. PMC 2648893. PMID 19251662.
- Steffen, Will; Rockström, Johan; Richardson, Katherine; Lenton, Timothy M.; et al. (2018). "Trajectories of the Earth System in the Anthropocene". PNAS. 115 (33): 8252–8259. Bibcode:2018PNAS..115.8252S. doi:10.1073/pnas.1810141115. PMC 6099852. PMID 30082409.
- Stott, Peter A.; Kettleborough, J.A. (2002). "Origins and estimates of uncertainty in predictions of twenty-first century temperature rise". Nature. 416 (6882): 723–726. Bibcode:2002Natur.416..723S. doi:10.1038/416723a. ISSN 1476-4687. PMID 11961551.
- Stroeve, J.; Holland, Marika M.; Meier, Walt; Scambos, Ted; et al. (2007). "Arctic sea ice decline: Faster than forecast". Geophysical Research Letters. 34 (9): L09501. Bibcode:2007GeoRL..3409501S. doi:10.1029/2007GL029703.
- Storelvmo, T.; Phillips, P. C. B.; Lohmann, U.; Leirvik, T.; Wild, M. (2016). "Disentangling greenhouse warming and aerosol cooling to reveal Earth's climate sensitivity" (PDF). Nature Geoscience. 9 (4): 286–289. Bibcode:2016NatGe...9..286S. doi:10.1038/ngeo2670. ISSN 1752-0908.
- Sun, Lantao; Perlwitz, Judith; Hoerling, Martin (2016). "What caused the recent "Warm Arctic, Cold Continents" trend pattern in winter temperatures?". Geophysical Research Letters. 43 (10): 5345–5352. Bibcode:2016GeoRL..43.5345S. doi:10.1002/2016GL069024. ISSN 1944-8007.
- Twomey, S. (1977). "The Influence of Pollution on the Shortwave Albedo of Clouds". J. Atmos. Sci. 34 (7): 1149–1152. Bibcode:1977JAtS...34.1149T. doi:10.1175/1520-0469(1977)034<1149:TIOPOT>2.0.CO;2. ISSN 1520-0469.
- Turetsky, Merritt R.; Abbott, Benjamin W.; Jones, Miriam C.; Anthony, Katey Walter; et al. (2019). "Permafrost collapse is accelerating carbon release". Nature. 569 (7754): 32–34. Bibcode:2019Natur.569...32T. doi:10.1038/d41586-019-01313-4. PMID 31040419.
- Tyndall, John (1861). "On the Absorption and Radiation of Heat by Gases and Vapours, and on the Physical Connection of Radiation, Absorption, and Conduction". Philosophical Magazine. 4. 22: 169–194, 273–285. Archived from the original on 26 March 2016.
- UNEP (2010). UNEP Emerging Issues: Environmental Consequences of Ocean Acidification: A Threat to Food Security (PDF). Nairobi, Kenya: United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP). Archived from the original (PDF) on 7 April 2015..
- UNEP (2018). The Emissions Gap Report 2018 (Report). United Nations Environment Programme, Nairobi.
This article incorporates public domain material from the US Global Change Research Program (USGCRP) document: USGCRP (2009). Karl, T. R.; Melillo, J.; Peterson, T.; Hassol, S. J. (eds.). Global Climate Change Impacts in the United States. Cambridge University Press. ISBN 978-0-521-14407-0. Archived from the original on 6 April 2010. Retrieved 17 April 2010.. Public-domain status of this report can be found on p. 4 of 102 PDF
- USGCRP (2015). Glossary. Washington, DC: U.S. Global Change Research Program (USGCRP). Archived from the original on 6 May 2014. Retrieved 20 January 2014.. Archived url.
- USGCRP (2017). Wuebbles, D. J.; Fahey, D. W.; Hibbard, K. A.; Dokken, D. J.; Stewart, B. C.; Maycock, T. K. (eds.). Climate Science Special Report: Fourth National Climate Assessment, Volume I (Report). Washington, DC, USA: U.S. Global Change Research Program.
- Wuebbles, D. J.; Easterling, D. R.; Hayhoe, K.; Knutson, T.; Kopp, R. E.; Kossin, J. P.; Kunkel, K. E.; LeGran-de; A. N.; Mears, C.; Sweet, W. V.; Taylor, P. C.; Vose, R. S.; Wehne, M. F. (2017). "Chapter 1: Our Globally Changing Climate" (PDF). In USGCRP2017 (Report).
- Walsh, John; Wuebbles, Donald; Hayhoe, Katherine; Kossin, Kossin; et al. (2014). "Appendix 3: Climate Science Supplement" (PDF). Climate Change Impacts in the United States: The Third National Climate Assessment. US National Climate Assessment.
- Wang, M.; Overland, J. E. (2009). "A sea ice free summer Arctic within 30 years?". Geophysical Research Letters. 36 (7): n/a. Bibcode:2009GeoRL..36.7502W. doi:10.1029/2009GL037820. Archived from the original on 19 January 2012.
- Wang, Bin; Shugart, Herman H.; Lerdau, Manuel T. (2017). "Sensitivity of global greenhouse gas budgets to tropospheric ozone pollution mediated by the biosphere". Environmental Research Letters. 12 (8): 084001. Bibcode:2017ERL....12h4001W. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/aa7885. ISSN 1748-9326.
- Watts, Nick; Adger, W Neil; Agnolucci, Paolo; Blackstock, Jason; et al. (November 2015). "Health and climate change: policy responses to protect public health". The Lancet. 386 (10006): 1861–1914. doi:10.1016/S0140-6736(15)60854-6. hdl:10871/20783. PMID 26111439. Archived from the original on 7 April 2017.
- WCRP Global Sea Level Budget Group (28 August 2018). "Global sea-level budget 1993–present". Earth System Science Data. 10 (3): 1551–1590. Bibcode:2018ESSD...10.1551W. doi:10.5194/essd-10-1551-2018. ISSN 1866-3508.
- Weart, Spencer (2013). "Rise of interdisciplinary research on climate". Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 110 (Supplement 1): 3657–3664. doi:10.1073/pnas.1107482109. PMC 3586608. PMID 22778431.
- Wild, M.; Gilgen, Hans; Roesch, Andreas; Ohmura, Atsumu; et al. (2005). "From Dimming to Brightening: Decadal Changes in Solar Radiation at Earth's Surface". Science. 308 (5723): 847–850. Bibcode:2005Sci...308..847W. doi:10.1126/science.1103215. PMID 15879214.
- Wolff, Eric W.; Shepherd, John G.; Shuckburgh, Emily; Watson, Andrew J. (2015). "Feedbacks on climate in the Earth system: introduction". Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences. 373 (2054): 20140428. Bibcode:2015RSPTA.37340428W. doi:10.1098/rsta.2014.0428. PMC 4608041. PMID 26438277.
- World Bank (2010). World Development Report 2010: Development and Climate Change. The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank, 1818 H Street NW, Washington, DC. doi:10.1596/978-0-8213-7987-5. ISBN 978-0-8213-7987-5. Archived from the original on 5 March 2010. Retrieved 6 April 2010.
- Wynes, Seth; Nicholas, Kimberly A (2017). "The climate mitigation gap: education and government recommendations miss the most effective individual actions". Environmental Research Letters. 12 (7): 074024. Bibcode:2017ERL....12g4024W. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/aa7541.
- Zhang, Yuan; Goll, Daniel; Bastos, Ana; Balkanski, Yves; et al. (2019). "Increased Global Land Carbon Sink Due to Aerosol‐Induced Cooling" (PDF). Global Biogeochemical Cycles. 33 (3): 439–457. Bibcode:2019GBioC..33..439Z. doi:10.1029/2018GB006051.
- Zeng, Ning; Yoon, Jinho (2009). "Expansion of the world's deserts due to vegetation-albedo feedback under global warming". Geophysical Research Letters. 36 (17): L17401. Bibcode:2009GeoRL..3617401Z. doi:10.1029/2009GL039699. ISSN 1944-8007.
- Zhang, Jinlun; Lindsay, Ron; Steele, Mike; Schweiger, Axel (2008). "What drove the dramatic arctic sea ice retreat during summer 2007?". Geophysical Research Letters. 35: 1–5. Bibcode:2008GeoRL..3511505Z. doi:10.1029/2008gl034005.
Books, reports and legal documents
- Archer, David; Pierrehumbert, Raymond (29 April 2013). The Warming Papers: The Scientific Foundation for the Climate Change Forecast. John Wiley & Sons. ISBN 978-1-118-68733-8.
- Climate Focus (December 2015). "The Paris Agreement: Summary. Climate Focus Client Brief on the Paris Agreement III" (PDF). Archived (PDF) from the original on 5 October 2018. Retrieved 12 April 2019.
- Clark, P. U.; Weaver, A.J.; Brook, E.; Cook, E.R.; et al. (December 2008). "Executive Summary". In: Abrupt Climate Change. A Report by the U.S. Climate Change Science Program and the Subcommittee on Global Change Research. Reston, VA: U.S. Geological Survey. Archived from the original on 4 May 2013.
- DiMento, Joseph F. C.; Doughman, Pamela M. (2007). Climate Change: What It Means for Us, Our Children, and Our Grandchildren. The MIT Press. ISBN 978-0-262-54193-0.
- Fleming, James Rodger (1998). Historical Perspectives on Climate Change. Oxford University Press. ISBN 978-0-19-507870-1.
- Fleming, James Rodger (2007). The Callendar Effect: the life and work of Guy Stewart Callendar (1898–1964). Boston: American Meteorological Society. ISBN 978-1-878220-76-9.
- Folger, Peter (2009). The carbon cycle: implications for climate and congress (PDF) (Report). Congressional Research Service.
- Academia Brasileira de Ciéncias (Brazil); Royal Society of Canada; Chinese Academy of Sciences; Académie des Sciences (France); Deutsche Akademie der Naturforscher Leopoldina (Germany); Indian National Science Academy; Accademia Nazionale dei Lincei (Italy); Science Council of Japan, Academia Mexicana de Ciencias; Russian Academy of Sciences; Royal Society (United Kingdom); National Academy of Sciences (United States of America) (2005). "Joint science academies' statement: Global response to climate change" (PDF). Archived (PDF) from the original on 9 September 2013. Retrieved 6 January 2014.
- Academia Brasileira de Ciéncias (Brazil); Royal Society of Canada; Chinese Academy of Sciences; Académie des Sciences (France); Deutsche Akademie der Naturforscher Leopoldina (Germany); Indian National Science Academy; Accademia Nazionale dei Lincei (Italy); Science Council of Japan, Academia Mexicana de Ciencias; Russian Academy of Sciences; Academy of Science of South Africa; Royal Society (United Kingdom); National Academy of Sciences (United States of America) (May 2009). "G8+5 Academies' joint statement: Climate change and the transformation of energy technologies for a low carbon future" (PDF). The National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. Archived (PDF) from the original on 15 February 2010. Retrieved 5 May 2010.
- Haywood, Jim (2016). "Chapter 27 - Atmospheric Aerosols and Their Role in Climate Change". In Letcher, Trevor M. (ed.). Climate Change: Observed Impacts on Planet Earth. Elsevier. p. 456. ISBN 9780444635242.
- Meinshausen, Malte (2019). "Implications of the Developed Scenarios for Climate Change". In Teske, Sven (ed.). Achieving the Paris Climate Agreement Goals. Achieving the Paris Climate Agreement Goals: Global and Regional 100% Renewable Energy Scenarios with Non-energy GHG Pathways for +1.5 °C and +2 °C. Springer International Publishing. pp. 459–469. doi:10.1007/978-3-030-05843-2_12. ISBN 9783030058432.
- Morgan, M. Granger; Dowlatabadi, Hadi; Henrion, Max; Keith, David; et al. (2009). "Non-Technical Summary: BOX NT.1 Summary of Climate Change Basics" (PDF). Synthesis and Assessment Product 5.2: Best practice approaches for characterizing, communicating, and incorporating scientific uncertainty in decision making. A Report by the U.S. Climate Change Science Program and the Subcommittee on Global Change Research. Washington, D.C.: National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Archived (PDF) from the original on 15 August 2011.
- Müller, Benito (February 2010). Copenhagen 2009: Failure or final wake-up call for our leaders? EV 49 (PDF). Oxford Institute for Energy Studies. p. i. ISBN 978-1-907555-04-6. Archived (PDF) from the original on 10 July 2017. Retrieved 18 May 2010.
- National Research Council (2008). Understanding and responding to climate change: Highlights of National Academies Reports, 2008 edition, produced by the US National Research Council (US NRC) (Report). Washington, DC: National Academy of Sciences. Archived from the original on 4 March 2016. Retrieved 14 January 2016.
- National Research Council (2012). Climate Change: Evidence, Impacts, and Choices (Report). US National Research Council (US NRC). Archived from the original on 3 May 2016. Retrieved 9 September 2017. Also available as PDF Archived 20 February 2013 at the Wayback Machine
- Newell, Peter (14 December 2006). Climate for Change: Non-State Actors and the Global Politics of the Greenhouse. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology. 109. Cambridge University Press. pp. 75–76. Bibcode:2001AgFM..109...75B. doi:10.1016/S0168-1923(01)00246-5. ISBN 978-0-521-02123-4. Retrieved 30 July 2018.
- NOAA. "January 2017 analysis from NOAA: Global and Regional Sea Level Rise Scenarios for the United States" (PDF). Archived (PDF) from the original on 18 December 2017. Retrieved 7 February 2019.
- NRC (2008). "Understanding and Responding to Climate Change" (PDF). Board on Atmospheric Sciences and Climate, US National Academy of Sciences. Archived (PDF) from the original on 11 October 2017. Retrieved 9 November 2010.
- Oreskes, Naomi; Conway, Erik (25 May 2010). Merchants of Doubt: How a Handful of Scientists Obscured the Truth on Issues from Tobacco Smoke to Global Warming (first ed.). Bloomsbury Press. ISBN 978-1-59691-610-4.
- Park, Susin (May 2011). "Climate Change and the Risk of Statelessness: The Situation of Low-lying Island States" (PDF). United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees. Archived (PDF) from the original on 2 May 2013. Retrieved 13 April 2012.
- Royal Society (13 April 2005). Economic Affairs – Written Evidence. The Economics of Climate Change, the Second Report of the 2005–2006 session, produced by the UK Parliament House of Lords Economics Affairs Select Committee. UK Parliament. Archived from the original on 13 November 2011. Retrieved 9 July 2011.
- Rudwick, Martin J. S. (December 2005). Bursting the Limits of Time: The Reconstruction of Geohistory in the Age of Revolution. University of Chicago Press. ISBN 978-0-226-73111-7.
- UN FAO (2016). Global Forest Resources Assessment 2015. How are the world’s forests changing? (PDF) (Report). Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations. ISBN 978-92-5-109283-5. Retrieved 1 December 2019.
- UNFCCC (1992). United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (PDF).
- UNFCCC (1997). "Kyoto Protocol to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change". United Nations.
- UNFCCC (30 March 2010). "Decision 2/CP.15: Copenhagen Accord". Report of the Conference of the Parties on its fifteenth session, held in Copenhagen from 7 to 19 December 2009. United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change. FCCC/CP/2009/11/Add.1. Archived from the original on 30 April 2010. Retrieved 17 May 2010.
- UNFCCC (15 March 2011). "Decision 1/CP.16: The Cancun Agreements: Outcome of the work of the Ad Hoc Working Group on Long-term Cooperative Action under the Convention" (PDF). Report of the Conference of the Parties on its sixteenth session, held in Cancun from 29 November to 10 December 2010. United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change. FCCC/CP/2010/7/Add.1.
- UNFCCC (2015). "Paris Agreement" (PDF). United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change.
- United States Environmental Protection Agency (2016). Methane and Black Carbon Impacts on the Arctic: Communicating the Science (Report). Archived from the original on 6 September 2017. Retrieved 27 February 2019.
- U.S. Senate, Committee on Energy and Natural Resources, 100th Cong. 1st sess. (23 June 1988). Greenhouse Effect and Global Climate Change: hearing before the Committee on Energy and Natural Resources, part 2.
- World Meteorological Organization (2019). WMO Statement on the State of the Global Climate in 2018 (Report).
- New Climate Institute (2019). Global climate action from cities, regions and businesses – 2019 (Report).
- Sandell, Clayton (3 January 2007). "Report: Big Money Confusing Public on Global Warming". ABC. Archived from the original on 19 February 2007. Retrieved 27 April 2007.
- Weart, Spencer (2008). "The Carbon Dioxide Greenhouse Effect". The Discovery of Global Warming. American Institute of Physics. Archived from the original on 11 November 2016. Retrieved 21 April 2009.
- Weart, Spencer R. (February 2014). "The Public and Climate Change: Suspicions of a Human-Caused Greenhouse (1956–1969)". The Discovery of Global Warming. American Institute of Physics. Archived from the original on 11 November 2016. Retrieved 12 May 2015.
- Weart, S. (February 2015). "The Public and Climate Change (cont. – since 1980)". The Discovery of Global warming. American Institute of Physics. Archived from the original on 11 November 2016. Retrieved 18 August 2015.
- Weart, Spencer R. (February 2014). "The Public and Climate Change: The Summer of 1988". The Discovery of Global Warming. American Institute of Physics. Archived from the original on 11 November 2016. Retrieved 12 May 2015.
- Colford, Paul (22 September 2015). "An addition to AP Stylebook entry on global warming". www.apstylebook.com. Retrieved 6 November 2019.
- "Siberian permafrost thaw warning sparked by cave data". BBC. 22 February 2013. Archived from the original on 23 February 2013. Retrieved 24 February 2013.
- Amos, Jonathan (10 May 2013). "Carbon dioxide passes symbolic mark". BBC. Archived from the original on 29 May 2013. Retrieved 27 May 2013.
- Rodgers, Lucy (17 December 2018). "Climate change: The massive CO2 emitter you may not know about". BBC. Archived from the original on 17 December 2018.
- "Extinction Rebellion: Climate protesters block roads". BBC. 16 April 2019. Archived from the original on 16 April 2019. Retrieved 16 April 2019.
- "UK Parliament declares climate change emergency". BBC. 1 May 2019. Retrieved 30 June 2019.
- "Climate change: Should you fly, drive or take the train?". BBC. 24 August 2019.
- McSweeney, Robert M.; Hausfather, Zeke (15 January 2018). "Q&A: How do climate models work?". Carbon Brief. Archived from the original on 5 March 2019. Retrieved 2 March 2019.
- Hausfather, Zeke (19 April 2018). "Explainer: How 'Shared Socioeconomic Pathways' explore future climate change". Carbon Brief. Retrieved 20 July 2019.
- McSweeney, Robert M. (31 January 2019). "Q&A: How is Arctic warming linked to the 'polar vortex' and other extreme weather?". Carbon Brief.
- Belcher, Stephen; Boucher, Olivier; Sutton, Rowan (21 March 2019). "Guest post: Why results from the next generation of climate models matter". Carbon Brief. Retrieved 25 August 2019.
- Center for Climate and Energy Solutions
- "Reducing Your Transportation Footprint". Center for Climate and Energy Solutions. Retrieved 18 December 2019.
- Climate Action Tracker
- Montlake, Simon (5 August 2019). "What does climate change have to do with socialism". The Christian Science Monitor. ISSN 0882-7729. Retrieved 16 August 2019.
- Sutter, John D.; Berlinger, Joshua (12 December 2015). "Final draft of climate deal formally accepted in Paris". CNN. Archived from the original on 12 December 2015. Retrieved 12 December 2015.
- Ruiz, Irene Banos (22 June 2019). "Climate Action: Can We Change the Climate From the Grassroots Up?". Ecowatch. Deutsche Welle. Archived from the original on 23 June 2019. Retrieved 23 June 2019.
- "The truth about big oil and climate change". The Economist. 9 February 2019. ISSN 0013-0613. Retrieved 19 May 2019.
- "A bold new plan to tackle climate change ignores economic orthodoxy". The Economist. London. 7 February 2019. Retrieved 28 May 2019.
- Ray, Julie; Pugliese, Anita (22 April 2011). "Worldwide, Blame for Climate Change Falls on Humans". Gallup.Com. Archived from the original on 4 May 2011. Retrieved 3 May 2011.
- Pugliese, Anita (20 April 2011). "Fewer Americans, Europeans View Global Warming as a Threat". Gallup. Archived from the original on 24 April 2011. Retrieved 22 April 2011.
- Adams, David (20 September 2006). "Royal Society tells Exxon: stop funding climate change denial". The Guardian. Archived from the original on 11 February 2014. Retrieved 9 August 2007.
- Nuccitelli, Dana (26 January 2015). "Climate change could impact the poor much more than previously thought". The Guardian. Archived from the original on 28 December 2016.
- Nuccitelli, Dana (31 August 2015). "Citi report: slowing global warming would save tens of trillions of dollars". The Guardian. Archived from the original on 4 February 2017.
- Vaughan, Adam (12 December 2015). "Paris climate deal: key points at a glance". The Guardian. Archived from the original on 13 December 2015. Retrieved 12 December 2015.
- Watts, Jonathan (7 August 2018). "Domino-effect of climate events could push Earth into a 'hothouse' state". The Guardian. Archived from the original on 7 August 2018.
- Taylor, Matthew (27 February 2019). "Is Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez right to ask if the climate means we should have fewer children?". The Guardian. Retrieved 19 May 2019.
- Carrington, Damian (19 March 2019). "School climate strikes: 1.4 million people took part, say campaigners". The Guardian. Archived from the original on 20 March 2019. Retrieved 12 April 2019.
- Milman, Oliver (2 May 2019). "Microsoft joins group seeking to kill off historic climate change lawsuits". The Guardian. Retrieved 19 May 2019.
- Carrington, Damian (17 May 2019). "Why the Guardian is changing the language it uses about the environment". The Guardian. Retrieved 20 May 2019.
- "Scientists shocked by Arctic permafrost thawing 70 years sooner than predicted". The Guardian. Reuters. 18 June 2019. Retrieved 24 June 2019.
- Carrington, Damian (4 July 2019). "Tree planting 'has mind-blowing potential' to tackle climate crisis". The Guardian. Archived from the original on 5 July 2019. Retrieved 5 July 2019.
- Milman, Oliver (15 September 2019). "'Americans are waking up': two-thirds say climate crisis must be addressed". The Guardian. Retrieved 16 September 2019.
- Weston, Phoebe (5 November 2019). "11,000 scientists declare global climate emergency and warn of 'untold human suffering'". The Independent. Retrieved 7 November 2019.
- "Exxon cuts ties to global warming skeptics". NBC News. 12 January 2007. Retrieved 2 May 2007.
- Lane, Lee; Caldeira, Ken (April 2007). Workshop on managing solar radiation (PDF) (Report). NASA. Archived from the original (PDF) on 31 May 2009. Retrieved 23 May 2009.
- Conway, Erik M. (5 December 2008). "What's in a Name? Global Warming vs. Climate Change". NASA. Archived from the original on 9 August 2010.
- Riebeek, H. (16 June 2011). "The Carbon Cycle: Feature Articles: Effects of Changing the Carbon Cycle". Earth Observatory, part of the EOS Project Science Office located at NASA Goddard Space Flight Center. Archived from the original on 6 February 2013. Retrieved 4 February 2013.
- "Arctic amplification". NASA. 2013. Archived from the original on 31 July 2018.
- Shaftel, Holly (January 2016). "What's in a name? Weather, global warming and climate change". NASA Climate Change: Vital Signs of the Planet. Archived from the original on 28 September 2018. Retrieved 12 October 2018.
- Gray, Ellen (20 August 2018). "Unexpected future boost of methane possible from Arctic permafrost". NASA's Earth Science News Team. Archived from the original on 31 March 2019.
- Carlowicz, Michael (12 September 2018). "Watery heatwave cooks the Gulf of Maine". NASA's Earth Observatory.
- Borunda, Alejandra (15 November 2018). "See how a warmer world primed California for large fires". National Geographic. Retrieved 10 May 2019.
- "Global warming effects". National Geographic. Retrieved 18 May 2019.
- Borunda, Alejandra (11 June 2019). "How can city dwellers help with climate change? Buy less stuff". National Geographic.
- Welch, Craig (13 August 2019). "Arctic permafrost is thawing fast. That affects us all". National Geographic. Retrieved 25 August 2019.
- "Climate Change Will Cause Rape and Murder and Assault and Robbery and Larceny and Make People Steal Your Car". National Review. 27 February 2014. Retrieved 17 November 2018.
- Fleming, James R. (17 March 2008). "Climate Change and Anthropogenic Greenhouse Warming: A Selection of Key Articles, 1824–1995, with Interpretive Essays". National Science Digital Library Project Archive PALE:ClassicArticles. Retrieved 7 October 2019.
- Schiermeier, Quirin (7 July 2015). "Climate scientists discuss future of their field". Nature. doi:10.1038/nature.2015.17917. Archived from the original on 11 October 2017.
- Crucifix, Michel (2016). "Earth's narrow escape from a big freeze". Nature. 529 (7585): 162–163. doi:10.1038/529162a. ISSN 1476-4687. PMID 26762453.
- Rudd, Kevin (25 May 2015). "Paris Can't Be Another Copenhagen". The New York Times. Archived from the original on 3 February 2018. Retrieved 26 May 2015.
- Fandos, Nicholas (29 April 2017). "Climate March Draws Thousands of Protesters Alarmed by Trump's Environmental Agenda". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Archived from the original on 12 April 2019. Retrieved 12 April 2019.
- Davenport, Carol (7 October 2018). "Major Climate Report Describes a Strong Risk of Crisis as Early as 2040". The New York Times. Archived from the original on 10 October 2018. Retrieved 10 October 2018.
- Friedman, Lisa (4 November 2019). "Trump Serves Notice to Quit Paris Climate Agreement". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved 20 November 2019.
- NOAA (10 July 2011). "Polar Opposites: the Arctic and Antarctic". Archived from the original on 22 February 2019. Retrieved 20 February 2019.
- "What's the difference between global warming and climate change?". NOAA Climate.gov. 17 June 2015. Archived from the original on 7 November 2018. Retrieved 15 October 2018.
- NOAA (1 August 2018). "Climate Change: Global Sea Level". Archived from the original on 28 February 2019. Retrieved 27 February 2019.
- Huddleston, Amara (17 July 2019). "Happy 200th birthday to Eunice Foote, hidden climate science pioneer". NOAA Climate.gov. Retrieved 8 October 2019.
- Lindsey, Rebecca (4 September 2018). "Did global warming stop in 1998?". NOAA. Archived from the original on 4 March 2019. Retrieved 20 February 2019.
- Ritchie, Hannah; Roser, Max (15 January 2018). "Land Use – Our World in Data". Our World in Data. Retrieved 1 December 2019.
- Pew Research Center (24 June 2013). "Climate Change and Financial Instability Seen as Top Global Threats". Pew Research Center for the People & the Press. Archived from the original on 4 October 2013.
- Pew Research Center (5 November 2015). Global Concern about Climate Change, Broad Support for Limiting Emissions (Report). Archived from the original on 29 July 2017. Retrieved 7 August 2017.
- Sheridan, Kerry (6 August 2018). "Earth risks tipping into 'hothouse' state: study". Phys.org. Archived from the original on 29 March 2019.
- Poortinga, Wouter; Fisher, Stephen; Böhm, Gisela; Steg, Linda; Whitmarsh, Lorraine; Ogunbode, Charles (September 2018). "European Attitudes to Climate Change and Energy" (PDF). Journal of Environmental and Public Health. 2018 (9).
- Calel, Raphael (19 February 2014). "The Founding Fathers v. The Climate Change Skeptics". The Public Domain Review. Retrieved 16 September 2019.
- "Stop emitting CO2 or geoengineering could be our only hope" (Press release). The Royal Society. 28 August 2009. Archived from the original on 24 June 2011. Retrieved 14 June 2011.
- Leopold, Evelyn (25 September 2019). "How leaders planned to avert climate catastrophe at the UN (while Trump hung out in the basement)". Salon. Retrieved 20 November 2019.
- Perkins, Sid (11 July 2017). "The best way to reduce your carbon footprint is one the government isn't telling you about". Science. Archived from the original on 1 December 2017. Retrieved 29 November 2017.
- "Shutdown of Circulation Pattern Could Be Disastrous, Researchers Say". ScienceDaily. 20 December 2004. Archived from the original on 13 January 2005.
- "Carbon dioxide is 'driving fish crazy'". ScienceDaily. 21 January 2012. Archived from the original on 30 July 2018. Retrieved 30 July 2018.
- "Climate change linked to potential population decline in bees". ScienceDaily. 28 June 2018. Archived from the original on 30 July 2018. Retrieved 30 July 2018.
- Ogburn, Stephanie Paige (29 April 2014). "Indian Monsoons Are Becoming More Extreme". Scientific American. Archived from the original on 22 June 2018.
- Sneed, Annie (23 January 2018). "Ask the Experts: Does Rising CO2 Benefit Plants?". Scientific American. Archived from the original on 29 March 2019. Retrieved 27 February 2019.
- Wing, Scott L. (29 June 2016). "Studying the Climate of the Past Is Essential for Preparing for Today's Rapidly Changing Climate". Smithsonian. Retrieved 8 November 2019.
- The Sustainability Consortium
- TSC Webmaster (13 September 2018). "One-Fourth of Global Forest Loss Permanent: Deforestation Is Not Slowing Down". The Sustainability Consortium. Retrieved 1 December 2019.
- UN Environment
- "The Montreal Protocol: triumph by treaty". UN Environment. 20 November 2017. Archived from the original on 12 April 2019. Retrieved 12 April 2019.
- "Curbing environmentally unsafe, irregular and disorderly migration". UN Environment. 25 October 2018. Archived from the original on 18 April 2019. Retrieved 18 April 2019.
- "Climate Change Is A Key Driver of Migration and Food Insecurity". UNFCCC. 17 October 2017. Archived from the original on 18 April 2019. Retrieved 18 April 2019.
- UNFCCC. "What are United Nations Climate Change Conferences?". Archived from the original on 12 May 2019. Retrieved 12 May 2019.
- UNFCCC (9 December 2019). "Global Data Community Commits to Track Climate Action". Retrieved 15 December 2019.
- U.S. Geological Survey
- United Nations Development Program. "Reducing emissions, promoting clean energy and protecting forests". Archived from the original on 17 April 2019. Retrieved 17 April 2019.
- Univ. Wisconsin – Oshkosh
- [unknown] (n.d.). "Oil Company Positions on the Reality and Risk of Climate Change". Environmental Studies, University of Wisconsin – Oshkosh. Archived from the original on 16 April 2016. Retrieved 27 March 2016.
- "Global warming risk: Rising temperatures from climate change linked to rise in suicides". USA Today. 13 July 2018. Archived from the original on 30 July 2018. Retrieved 30 July 2018.
- Segalov, Michael (2 May 2019). "The UK Has Declared a Climate Emergency: What Now?". Vice. Retrieved 30 June 2019.
- "The best way to reduce your personal carbon emissions: don't be rich". Vox. 15 October 2018. Retrieved 19 April 2019.
- Mooney, Chris (22 October 2014). "There's a surprisingly strong link between climate change and violence". The Washington Post. Archived from the original on 12 May 2015.
- Mooney, Chris (2018). "The next five years will be 'anomalously warm,' scientists predict". The Washington Post. Archived from the original on 14 August 2018. Retrieved 14 August 2018.
- Kaplan, Sarah (2018). "Climate change could render many of Earth's ecosystems unrecognizable". The Washington Post. Archived from the original on 30 August 2018. Retrieved 30 August 2018.
- Seymour, Frances; Gibbs, David (9 August 2019). "Forests in the IPCC Special Report on Land Use: 7 Things to Know". World Resources Institute. Retrieved 6 December 2019.
- Yale Climate Connections
- Peach, Sara (2 November 2010). "Yale Researcher Anthony Leiserowitz on Studying, Communicating with American Public". Yale Climate Connections. Archived from the original on 7 February 2019. Retrieved 30 July 2018.
|Library resources about |
- NRDC Guide: Global Warming 101
- NASA: Climate change: How do we know?
- Global Climate Change Indicators – NOAA
- Skeptical Science: Getting skeptical about global warming skepticism
- Climate change tutorial by Prof. Myles Allen (Oxford), March 2018: Parts 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 (45 min. total); background & slide deck
- Result of total melting of Polar regions on World – (National Geographic Society; 2013)