Future of the Royal Air Force

The planning for the future of the Royal Air Force involves supporting ongoing British military operations,[1] the introduction of new aircraft types,[2] greater focus on network enabled capability and increasing interoperability with members of NATO.[1]

Combat Air

F-35 Lightning II

The Lockheed Martin F-35 Lightning II is a family of single-seat, single-engine, fifth generation multirole fighters under development to perform ground attack, reconnaissance, and air defence missions with stealth capability. It was selected for the UK's Joint Combat Aircraft requirement in 2001 and is expected to enter service with the Royal Navy and the RAF from around 2020, having been selected initially to replace the Royal Navy's Sea Harrier fighter, and latterly the existing Tornado GR.4 and Harrier GR.9 fleets (the latter already having been retired in late 2010), operating principally from the Queen Elizabeth class aircraft carriers.[3] It will be the main component of the RAF's manned strike capability, and marks the return of a carrier-borne strike capability for the Fleet Air Arm for the first time in nearly a decade.

The version initially selected was the Short Take Off Vertical Landing (STOVL) variant of the F-35, known as the F-35B. However, on 19 October 2010, David Cameron announced that the UK would change their order to the F-35C CATOBAR carrier variant for both the RAF and Navy. The F-35C variant features larger wings with folding wingtips and larger wing and tail control surfaces for improved low-speed control. This gives it a greater range and the ability to carry a larger and more diverse payload than the F-35B.[4]

In May 2012, it was announced that the government had reverted to the previous plan to operate the Short Take Off Vertical Landing F-35B, due to rising estimated shipbuilding costs associated with the CATOBAR variant F-35C, and an earlier estimated in-service date for the F-35B.[5]

The delivery of the UK's first F-35B was made on 19 July 2012 at Fort Worth, Texas, for flight trials by the RAF and Royal Navy.[6]

In 2015, the government's Strategic Defence and Security Review confirmed a planned order of 138 F-35s, with 24 of them to be available for carrier duties by 2023.[7][8] On 10 January 2019, initial operating capability for the UK's F-35B was announced.[9]

The F-35 Lightning units of the RAF and the Fleet Air Arm will be organised under a single administrative structure called the Lightning Force, which will form part of Air Command.

Current & Future Units

Operational Conversion Units

Operational Evaluation Units


It was announced in the 2015 Strategic Defence and Security Review that the Royal Air Force would retain its Tranche 1 Typhoons and use them to stand up an additional two squadrons. It was also announced that the aircraft would remain in service until 2040, ten years longer than previously planned.[8] The Government also promised to invest further in Typhoon air-to-ground capabilities and in a new active electronically scanned array (AESA) radar, as well as completing integration of the Storm Shadow and Brimstone missiles with the Typhoon. 107 Tranche 2 and 3 Typhoons will be equipped via "Project Centurion", allowing them to launch Meteor missiles, Brimstone and Storm Shadow missiles. 24 Tranche 1 Typhoons will be retained for UK Quick Reaction Alert purposes.[12] The final aircraft of the 160 ordered is due to be handed over in August 2019.[13]

Frontline Units

Operational Conversion Units

Operational Evaluation Units



One of the most anticipated announcements in the Strategic Defence and Security Review 2015 was the purchase of a maritime patrol aircraft to replace the capability lost after the cancellation of the Nimrod MRA.4 in 2010. The review announced that the UK planned to acquire nine Boeing P-8 Poseidon aircraft, which would be based at RAF Lossiemouth in Scotland by 2025.[8] The aircraft will include an "overland surveillance capability", which could eventually replace the surveillance capability lost by the retirement of the Sentinel R1 in 2025. The RAF plans to operate its P-8s with U.S. weapons such as MK54 torpedoes and Harpoon anti-ship missiles initially, with a possible transition onto British weapons in the future.[15][16]

Current & Future Units


In 2018, the RAF announced plans to upgrade its airborne early warning facility. Initially this was planned as an upgrade of the E-3D Sentry fleet, which would mirror the Sentry Block 40/45 upgrade undertaken by the USAF, and subsequently fitted to the Sentry fleet of the Armée de l'Air in France. However, owing to the significant cost of such a project, estimated at approximately £2 billion, it was thought that it would be more cost-effective to procure a new system instead.[17] Although there were calls for an open competition to select the new platform, most notably from a partnership between Airbus and Saab, which would feature the Swedish company's Erieye radar system combined with an Airbus aircraft, the Ministry of Defence was announced as being in talks with Boeing over procuring its E-7 Wedgetail aircraft.[18][19] To this end, in August 2018 the RAF began sending personnel to Australia to undergo training on the E-7, which was already in service with the RAAF.[20] The potential selection of the E-7 was seen as advantageous in part due to its level of commonality with the P-8 Poseidon, which the RAF had selected as its new maritime patrol aircraft, as well as enabling greater co-operation with the RAAF.[21] In October 2018, the Defence Secretary, Gavin Williamson, announced that the Government had begun negotiations with Boeing, having determined that the E-7 "represents the best value for money option for the UK against need".[22] A deal was signed in March 2019 that will see the RAF procure five E-7 aircraft for approximately £1.5bn.[23]

Current & Future Units

Transport and Air-to-Air Refuelling


Future transport capability will rely on the Airbus A400M Atlas, of which 22 are to be used to replace the Hercules C1/C3 (C-130K) aircraft.[3]

The Airbus A400M will increase the airlift capacity and range compared with the aircraft it was originally set to replace, the older versions of the Hercules and Transall. Cargo capacity is expected to double over existing aircraft, both in payload and volume, and range is increased substantially as well. The cargo box is 17.71 m long excluding ramp, 4.00 m wide, and 3.85 m high. The height is 4.00 m aft of the wing and the ramp is 5.40 m long. The Airbus A400M will operate in many configurations including cargo transport, troop transport, Medical evacuation, and electronic surveillance. The aircraft is intended for use on short, soft landing strips and for long-range, cargo transport flights.[25]

Current & Future Units

Operational Conversion Units

Operational Evaluation Units


Strategic Defence and Security Review 2015 included a reprieve for some of the Hercules fleet, with the Government announcing "We will upgrade and extend the life of our C130J aircraft, allowing them to support a range of operations until 2030".[8] It had been reported that the Army's senior leadership was unhappy with the retirement of the Hercules aircraft, due to uncertainty regarding the A400M's and C-17's effectiveness in some tactical roles.[26] The 2015 Strategic Defence and Security Review envisioned a fleet of 14 C130J aircraft.[8] On 24 July 2019, it was reported the UK would extend the out of service date of the RAF's Hercules to 2035 in order to allow from the A400M to be rolled out. Due to one C-130J-30 damaged in June 2018, the RAF will retain 13 C-130J-30s and 1 C-130J in its inventory, selling the remain C-130Js.[27]

Current Units

Operational Conversion Units

Operational Evaluation Units


Fourteen Voyager air-to-air refuelling aircraft are in service as of 2016,[28] with one fitted for transport of the Prime Minister, senior cabinet officials and the Royal Family.[29][8]

Current Units

Signals Intelligence

Air Seeker

A total of three Boeing RC-135 Rivet Joint signals intelligence aircraft, ordered to replace the Nimrod R1 which was retired in 2011,[30] are now in service as of 2017.[31] These became known as Air Seeker when they entered RAF service in 2014.[32] The aircraft is an extensively modified Boeing C-135 Stratolifter with onboard sensors which enable the crew to detect, identify and geolocate signals throughout the electromagnetic spectrum. The crew can then forward information in a variety of formats to a wide range of consumers via the onboard secure communications suite.

Current Units

Operational Conversion Units

Sentinel R1

The 2015 Strategic Defence and Security Review announced that the Sentinel R1 would remain in service "until the next decade" with the intention that it be withdrawn by 2025.[33]

Current Units

Operational Conversion Units

Shadow R1

The 2015 Strategic Defence and Security Review stated that the Shadow R1 would remain in service until "at least" 2030. An additional two aircraft would also be procured for a total of eight in service by 2025.[8]

Current Units

Operational Conversion Units

Space Operations

The Secretary of State for Defence, Penny Mordaunt, announced at the Air & Space Power Conference on July 17th 2019 that a Team ARTEMIS, a joint US-UK team will be formed to launch and research small military satellites.[34] It was also announced that 23 squadron would reform as the RAF's first dedicated Space Squadron.[35]

Future Units


In 2004, the Royal Air Force initiated Project DABINETT, an integrated architecture to collect, process and disseminate intelligence from manned and unmanned aircraft such as Sentinel and Watchkeeper. Initial Gate was approved in January 2008; when assessment phase contracts were awarded to BAe INSYTE and Lockheed Martin UK. In February 2010, it had been renamed Project SOLOMON. Phase I concentrates on disseminating information over the UK Defence Information Infrastructure networks, with Initial Operating Capability in March 2012 and Full Operating Capability in March 2015.[36] There, however, has been no progress since then.



On 16 December 2009, the Ministry of Defence announced that 22 Chinook helicopters would be added to the current Chinook fleet, bringing the total number in service to 70 by 2013. However, in 2010, the order was reduced to 14.[3] The new aircraft will enter service from late 2014 onwards. In 2006, the retirement dates for the HC2 and HC2A fleets were scheduled for 2015 and 2025, respectively, however with upgrades to a digital cockpit and digital automatic flight control system the types are expected to be flying until 2040.[37][38]

Current Units

Operational Conversion Units


A total of 24 Puma HC1's have been upgraded to HC2 standard to prolong their lives until 2025.[8]

Current Units

Operational Conversion Units

Unmanned Aerial Vehicles


The Protector programme (formerly known as Scavenger) will supply a next-generation medium-altitude, long-endurance (MALE) UAV to replace the current General Atomics MQ-9 Reaper UAVs.[39]

In June 2011, it was announced that BAE Systems and Dassault Aviation would collaborate on an aircraft called Telemos.[40] It was suggested that BAE Systems would supply the airframe and guidance based on BAE Mantis, with a payload from Thales and integration by Dassault.[41] However, the project was effectively abandoned in 2012 after Dassault pursued a collaboration with EADS Cassidian and Alenia Aermacchi instead.[42]

In October 2015, Prime Minister David Cameron announced the purchase of more than 20 Protector UAVs which would be delivered by the end of the decade.[43][44] This was later confirmed in the 2015 Strategic Defence and Security Review. As of mid-2018, the in-service date had slipped to 2024.[14] The exact platform selected for Protector was not disclosed, but in February 2016, Christopher Ames of General Atomics Aeronautical Systems claimed that it would be a Certifiable Predator B.[45] Air Commodore Peter Grinsted of the Ministry of Defence later confirmed that it would be an enhanced variant of Predator B, designed to be compatible with NATO airworthiness standards. He confirmed that it would also come with the extended wing and fuel tanks of the ER (Extended Range) version, giving an increased endurance of over 40 hours.[46] In April 2016, the Ministry of Defence confirmed it would seek to acquire the Certifiable Predator B through a Foreign Military Sales contract with the U.S. Department of Defense.[47][48] In July 2018, it was announced that this aircraft will be designated Protector RG Mk 1 in RAF service, and is to be delivered in 2024 when it will replace Reaper.[49] A contract was signed on 11 September 2019 to test the RPAS' limit and report on its performance.[50]

According to MBDA, the Royal Air Force intends to arm the aircraft with Brimstone missiles.[51]

Combat Air Strategy and Team Tempest

At the 2018 Farnborough Airshow, UK Defence Secretary Gavin Williamson announced Team Tempest, a joint program office consisting of government divisions alongside BAE Systems, Leonardo, MBDA and Rolls-Royce would be developing a new design of fighter aircraft with UK£2 billion (US$2.6 billion) in funding, by 2025.[52] This will develop new technologies and means of production under the Future Combat Air System Technology Initiative (FCAS TI)). It is likely to involve technology from Italy and Sweden using Gripen E, and is also likely to leverage on the UK's Eurofighter Typhoon experience.[53]


Leading up to the Strategic Defence and Security Review 2015, Prime Minister David Cameron announced that "British-designed unmanned aircraft will be constructed to fly at the very edge of the earth’s atmosphere and allow us to observe our adversaries for weeks on end, providing critical intelligence for our forces."[54] Gareth Jennings of IHS Jane's identified this as the solar-powered Qinetiq Zephyr.[55] The Ministry of Defence confirmed an initial order for two Zephyr aircraft in February 2016 for demonstration purposes.[56] In August 2016, the MOD confirmed a purchase of a third Zephyr.[57]

Swarming Drones

On 11 February 2019, Secretary of State for Defence Gavin Williamson announced that the UK will develop 'swarming drones' to defeat enemy air defences.[58] A IHS Janes report stated that the RAF will form a new squadron to specifically control these drones.[59]

Future Units

Lightweight Affordable Novel Combat Aircraft (LANCA) programme

The RAF's Rapid Capabilities Office is aiming for a technology demonstrator, named ‘Mosquito’, which three contracts placed with Blue Bear Systems Research Ltd, Boeing Defence UK Ltd, and Callen-Lenz (Team BLACKDAWN partnered with Bombardier Belfast and Northrop Grumman UK Ltd). This project is aming for adding unnamed capabilities to future jet aircraft.[61]

Future Combat Air System (FCAS)

The Future Combat Air System (FCAS) (also known as the Unmanned Combat Air System (UCAS)) aimed to deliver an unmanned combat aerial vehicle (UCAV) by 2030.[62] FCAS will be built in co-operation with France, utilising technology from the BAE Taranis and Dassault nEUROn technology demonstrators.[62] Development of full-scale prototypes is expected to begin by 2017.[63] In the Royal Air Force, FCAS will be expected to operate alongside Typhoons and F-35 Lightning IIs.[64]

As a UCAV, FCAS will utilise stealth technology to reduce its radar cross-section (its radar signature is reportedly the size of a dragonfly).[65] It will feature a high degree of autonomy, enabling it to complete a large part of its missions without human control.[65] It will have a 16-metre (50 ft) wingspan and two internal weapon bays.[65]

According to Bernard Gray of the Ministry of Defence, technology from FCAS could also be incorporated onto a manned platform.[62] Other officials have also insisted that a manned option for FCAS has not been ruled out.[66] According to a House of Commons Defence Select Committee (DSC) report, a new "clean-sheet" manned fighter design has not been ruled out, nor has the option to buy further or upgrade existing aircraft.[67]


The training provided to Royal Air Force aircrew is evolving, through a shift towards contractor-provided training, and increasing use of simulators to supplement flying time. The aircraft currently in use are approaching the end of their working lives. To fund new aircraft, the training system is being outsourced to the private sector, over a 25-year Private Finance Initiative valued at £6 billion. The consortium running the new UK Military Flying Training System is a partnership between Lockheed Martin and Babcock International, is known as Ascent Flight Training. The current generation training aircraft will be replaced over the next few years:

Training PhaseCurrentReplacementBase
Basic Gliding Training Viking T.1 None identified RAF Syerston and various locations
Elementary Flying Training Tutor T.1 Grob G 120TP RAF Cranwell, RAF Wittering
Basic Fast Jet Training Tucano T.1 Beechcraft T-6 Texan II RAF Linton-on-Ouse
Advanced Fast Jet Training BAE Hawk T.1/T.2 BAE Hawk T.2 RAF Valley
Multi-Engine Training Beechcraft King Air Embraer Phenom 100 RAF Cranwell
Basic Helicopter Flying Training Eurocopter Squirrel HT.1 Airbus H135 RAF Shawbury
Advanced Helicopter Flying Training Bell Griffin HT.1 Airbus H145 RAF Shawbury




No. 601 Squadron, Royal Auxiliary Air Force will reform to tap into the talents of leaders from industry, academia and research to advise and shape and inspire the RAF.[74]

See also


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  2. "Future Capability". Royal Air Force. 2011. Retrieved 20 April 2011.
  3. Wall, Robert."U.K. Cuts Aircraft Fleets in Strategic Review". Aviation Week, 19 October 2010.
  4. Wilson, Amy (10 November 2010). "Babcock says Aircraft carrier changes will add up to £800m to taxpayer bill". The Daily Telegraph. London.
  5. "U.K. Makes F-35 U-Turn to Cut Costs, Narrow Carrier-Defense Gap." Bloomberg News, 10 May 2012.
  6. "UK TAKES DELIVERY OF FIRST F-35 LIGHTNING II JET". BAE Systems Newsroom. 19 July 2012.
  7. "Osborne: UK to speed up aircraft carrier jet purchase". BBC News. 22 November 2015. Retrieved 22 November 2015.
  8. "The National Security Strategy and Strategic Defence and Security Review 2015: A Secure and Prosperous United Kingdom" (PDF). gov.uk. Her Majesty's Government. Retrieved 24 November 2015.
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  10. "Identity of F-35 Lightning Training Squadron Announced". RAF. 6 July 2017. Retrieved 6 July 2017.
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  19. Reim, Garrett (3 October 2018). "UK in talks to buy Boeing E-7 Wedgetail Early Warning and Control aircraft". Flight Global. Retrieved 3 October 2018.
  20. Pittaway, Nigel (16 August 2018). "UK moves closer to Wedgetail buy". Australian Defence Magazine. Retrieved 3 October 2018.
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