2020 Emilia-Romagna regional election

The Emilia-Romagna regional election of 2020 will take place in Emilia-Romagna on 26 January 2020.[1]

2020 Emilia-Romagna regional election

26 January 2020

All 50 seats to the Regional Council of Emilia-Romagna
  Majority party Minority party
 
Leader Stefano Bonaccini Lucia Borgonzoni
Party Democratic Party League
Alliance Centre-left coalition Centre-right coalition

President before election

Stefano Bonaccini
Democratic Party

President

TBD

Electoral law

The Legislative Assembly of Emilia-Romagna (Assemblea Legislativa dell'Emilia-Romagna) is composed of 50 members. Forty councillors are elected in provincial constituencies by proportional representation using the largest remainder method with a 3% quorum, Droop quota and open lists, while ten councillors (elected in bloc) come from a "regional list", including the President-elect. The 3% quota does not apply to parties tied to a candidate who gathers more than 5% of votes. One seat is reserved for the candidate who comes second. If a coalition wins more than 50% of the total seats in the Council with PR, only five candidates from the regional list will be picked, and the number of those elected in provincial constituencies will be forty-five. If the winning coalition receives less than 40% of the seats, special seats are added to the Council to ensure a large majority for the President's coalition.[2]

Background

Despite Emilia-Romagna having always been considered one of the "red regions" – a stronghold of left-wing parties since the end of the World War II – in the 2018 general election the centre-right coalition became the largest political force in the region. The 2020 regional election has been considered as the first competitive one in the history of the region.[3]

The centre-left nominated incumbent governor Stefano Bonaccini at the head of a coalition including the Democratic Party (PD) and its left-wing allies of Free and Equal (LeU) and Green Europe (EV), as well as Italy in Common (IiC).[4][5] The centre-right proposed Senator Lucia Borgonzoni, member of the League (Lega) and former undersecretary to cultural activities in Giuseppe Conte's first government.[6] The centre-right coalition includes also Brothers of Italy (FdI) and Forza Italia (FI).[7]

Campaign

The official election campaign was opened on 14 November by the League, which organized a rally at the PalaDozza, the sport arena of Bologna. On that occasion Matteo Salvini presented the centre-right candidate Lucia Borgonzoni.[8] At the same time, a flash mob named "6000 Sardines against Salvini" was organized in Piazza Maggiore, to peacefully protest against Salvini's campaign in Emilia-Romagna. On the following day, the Nicola Zingaretti's Democratic Party held a three-day convention in Bologna, known as Tutta un'altra storia ("A whole different story").[9]

On 19 November, Bonaccini and Borgonzoni had their fist television debate, hosted by the talk show #Cartabianca by Bianca Berlinguer on Rai 3. The debate was followed by about 1.6 million viewers (6% share).[10]

After a period of uncertainty regarding its participation in the regional elections, and after a decline in opinion polls and poor election results in 2019 Umbrian election, on 21 November the Five Star Movement launched a survey on its on-line platform "Rousseau", to ask its members if they should participate in the following regional elections. Almost 70% of members voted to run in the elections, and therefore M5S leader Luigi Di Maio announced the presentation of M5S electoral lists and a M5S candidate for the regional presidency, without party alliances.[11]

On 7 December, more than 10,000 people gathered Piazza Maggiore in Bologna for the launch of Bonaccini's electoral campaign.[12]

Electoral programmes

Stefano Bonaccini's electoral programme claims the results achieved by the outgoing centre-left administration (including the "Pact for Labour" of 2015), proposing four priority points accumulated by the slogan "A step forward": to create free kindergartens for all children in the region, to break down the waiting lists for health interventions and access times to first aid, to carry out preventive maintenance and make the territory safe, to reduce the phenomenon of NEET.

The League of Lucia Borgonzoni proposed the introduction of some good practices already existing in the regions governed by the centre-right (in particular Lombardy and Veneto), including the opening of hospitals during public holidays and at night to carry out medical exams and laboratory tests, the reduction of the regional IRPEF with introduction of 1.23% flat rate, as well as a general change in the regional government which has always been managed by the left wing.

The 5 Stars Movement focuses on social, infrastructural and environmental issues, including the abolition of the regional legislation on urban planning, the rethinking of the Cispadana regional motorway project in favour of a fast road without toll, the reduction of waste to close incinerators and some landfills and proposing in general to introduce new environmental sustainability policies in the Emilia-Romagna region.

Stefano Lugli (The Other Emilia-Romagna) proposes a "safe" region because "fair, public and sustainable", i.e. based on social equality, the fight against the privatization of services and the relaunch of environmental policies.

Marta Collot (Power to the people) presents a "rupture programme" based on the equality of people, in particular by requiring a guaranteed minimum wage of 9 euros per hour, redesigning the regional urban planning policies and withdrawing the request for differentiated regional autonomy presented by Emilia-Romagna to the Government.

Movement 3V "Vaccines We Want Truth" calls for the abolition of the vaccination obligation recently introduced by the government for the access of children and infants to public schools and kindergartens.

Parties and candidates

Political force or alliance Constituent lists Leader
Centre-left coalition Democratic Party
Stefano Bonaccini
Brave Emilia-Romagna (incl. Art.1 and SI)
More Europe (incl. PSI and PRI)
Green Europe
Volt
Bonaccini for President (incl. IV, A, IiC and CpE)
Centre-right coalition League
Lucia Borgonzoni
Forza Italia
Brothers of Italy
Cambiamo! (incl. IdeA and R)
Borgonzoni for President
Five Star Movement
Simone Benini
Power to the People
Marta Collot
The Other Emilia-Romagna (incl. PRC, PCI and PdS)
Stefano Lugli
Communist Party
Laura Bergamini
Italian Sovereignist Front
TBD
3V Movement
Domenico Battaglia

Polls

Candidates

Date Polling firm/
Client
Sample size Bonaccini Borgonzoni Benini Others Undecided Lead
17 Dec 2019 Ixè 1,000 47.2 40.1 7.8 4.9 25.0 7.1
13 Dec 2019 MG Research 44.5 44.5 8.5 2.5 N/A Tie
12 Dec 2019 Noto 47.0 43.0 6.0 4.0 N/A 4.0
9–12 Dec 2019 Ipsos 1,000 44.2 42.1 8.4 5.3 N/A 2.1
10–11 Dec 2019 Tecnè 1,000 45.0 44.0 7.0 4.0 N/A 1.0
2–4 Dec 2019 EMG 1,000 46.5 44.0 5.5 4.0 N/A 2.5
29 Nov – 2 Dec 2019 IZI 1,007 45.4 40.6 9.9 4.1 N/A 4.9
29 Nov 2019 MG Research 44.5 45.0 8.0 2.5 N/A 0.5
25 Nov 2019 Piepoli 44.0 43.0 9.0 4.0 N/A 1.0
24 Nov 2019 Affaritaliani.it 46.0 44.0 7.0 3.0 25.0 2.0
22–24 Nov 2019 Tecnè 1,000 45.0 45.0 8.0 2.0 N/A Tie
50.5 47.5 w. CSX 2.0 N/A 3.0
21 Nov 2019 Noto 45.0 44.0 8.0 3.0 N/A 1.0
52.0 46.0 w. CSX 2.0 N/A 6.0
49.0 46.0 abst. 5.0 N/A 3.0
19 Nov 2019 Ixè 1,000 40.0 29.2 5.0 7.7 18.1 10.8
41.2 29.4 abst. 8.8 20.3 11.8
13–19 Nov 2019 SWG[lower-alpha 1] 1,000 43.0 45.0 7.0 5.0 15.0 2.0
15 Nov 2019 MG Research 44.0 46.0 7.0 3.0 N/A 2.0
9–14 Nov 2019 ScenariPolitici–Winpoll[lower-alpha 1] 1,000 50.7 42.1 6.2 1.0 N/A 8.6
9–10 Nov 2019 Tecnè 800 46.0 45.0 7.0 2.0 N/A 1.0
51.0 47.0 w. CSX 2.0 N/A 4.0
50.0 48.0 abst. 2.0 N/A 2.0
31 Oct – 4 Nov 2019 EMG 1,000 45.5 44.0 7.0 3.5 N/A 1.5
20 Sep 2019 Repubblica[lower-alpha 1] 45.0 36.0 N/A N/A N/A 9.0
20 Sep 2019 Il Resto del Carlino[lower-alpha 1] 48.0 31.0 6.5 13.7 N/A 17.0
6–12 Sep 2019 SWG[lower-alpha 1][13] 1,000 41.0 42.0 13.0 4.0 25.0 1.0
23 November 2014 Election results 49.1 29.8 13.3 7.7 25.1

Parties

Date Polling firm Sample size Centre-left Centre-right M5S Others Undecided Lead
PD ERC BP Other Lega FI FdI Other
13–17 Dec 2019 Ixè 1,000 29.4 N/A 7.8 6.8 27.8 4.2 7.9 2.0 8.8 5.3 N/A 1.6
13 Dec 2019 MG Research 34.5 1.0 N/A 5.5 32.5 5.5 7.0 2.0 9.5 2.5 N/A 2.0
9–12 Dec 2019 Ipsos 1,000 22.9 N/A 20.2 N/A 25.9 2.0 10.1 4.8 8.2 5.9 N/A 3.0
10–11 Dec 2019 Tecnè 1,000 30.0 14.0 30.0 5.0 7.0 3.0 7.0 4.0 N/A Tie
29 Nov – 2 Dec 2019 IZI 1,007 24.7 N/A 11.0 5.2 29.8 5.1 9.4 1.1 10.9 2.8 N/A 5.1
29 Nov 2019 MG Research 34.0 1.5 N/A 5.5 33.0 5.5 7.5 1.5 9.0 2.5 N/A 1.0
22–24 Nov 2019 Tecnè 1,000 31.0 N/A N/A 13.0 31.0 5.0 6.0 4.0 8.0 2.0 N/A Tie
31.0 N/A N/A 13.0 32.0 5.0 6.0 5.0 6.0[lower-alpha 2] 2.0 N/A 1.0
19 Nov 2019 Ixè 1,000 34.3 N/A N/A N/A 30.9 5.1 6.0 N/A 10.4 13.3 N/A 3.4
13–19 Nov 2019 SWG[lower-alpha 1] 1,000 27.0 2.5 N/A 10.5 32.0 4.5 7.0 5.0 8.5 3.0 16.0 5.0
29.0 3.5 N/A 12.5 33.5 4.5 7.5 5.0 abst. 4.5 18.0 4.5
15 Nov 2019 MG Research 35.0 2.0 N/A 3.5 34.0 5.0 8.0 1.0 8.5 4.5 N/A 1.0
9–14 Nov 2019 ScenariPolitici–Winpoll[lower-alpha 1] 1,000 33.9 2.5 8.4 N/A 33.0 4.4 6.1 4.1 6.0 1.6 N/A 0.9
4 Nov 2019 Termometro Politico 46.0 48.5 N/A N/A N/A 2.5
1 Nov 2019 MG Research 27.0 1.5 N/A 11.0 33.0 5.0 7.5 1.0 10.0 6.0 N/A 6.0
28 Oct 2019 Affaritaliani.it 31.7 N/A N/A N/A 34.5 5.0 7.4 N/A 6.5 N/A N/A 2.8
20 Sep 2019 Il Resto del Carlino[lower-alpha 1] 44.5 43.6 8.5 N/A N/A 0.9
6–12 Sep 2019 SWG[lower-alpha 1][13] 1,000 33.5 2.0 N/A 4.5 33.5 4.0 5.5 1.5 13.0 N/A N/A Tie
6–10 Jul 2019 GPF 1,200 14.9 N/A N/A N/A 15.8 3.0 2.2 N/A 6.1 2.6 32.5 0.9
3 Jul – 21 Dec 2018 Ipsos 1,440 17.0 N/A N/A N/A 23.0 3.0 N/A N/A 15.0 4.0 38.0 6.0
23 Nov 2014 Election results 44.5 6.9 1.9 19.4 8.4 1.9 13.3 3.6 25.1
  1. This poll was commissioned by a political party.
  2. with CSX

See also

References

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